2008 Season MLB Baseball Past Picks

July 21, 2008


Boston at Seattle

Monday 07/21 10:10 PM Eastern

5 units on Seattle +1.5 runs -131 (runline) (risk 5 to return 5)  RESULT: loss

3 units on Seattle +133 (moneyline) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: loss

It is hard to figure out this Boston team, but why not take advantage of the perception vs. the reality? Boston is a good team, but not on the road. They have been nearly unbeatable at home producing a 36-11 mark and a winning percentage of 76.6%. They have been a horrible road team at 21-32 producing a winning percentage of 39.6%. Recently, their road woes have been even worse as they have now produced just two wins in their last 12 road games. The bottom line is at this loss rate on the road projected over 162 games, they would lose nearly 100. A team like that would never be favored on the road, especially in this range hence the value. You must also remember that this is a team that has already taken two of three at home over Boston already this season. There is just too much value here to pass this one up.


2008 Recent Results

Wins Losses Units
11 5 +3.72

with detailed analysis