Boston at Houston

Boston is off to a slow start offensively, and the Red Sox will turn to Brayan Bello to keep them in the game against the Astros, who won 8-1 last night. Bello finished the 2025 season 11-9 with a 1.24 WHIP, and he had a 3.06 ERA with a .215 opponent batting average in road games. Houston hitters are just 9-for-41 against Bello. The Red Sox have gone UNDER nine of 11 dating to last season. Hunter Brown goes for the Astros, and he went 4 2/3 innings in a 3-0 loss to the Angels on Thursday. He gave up no runs on four hits, but was taken out after 102 pitches. Boston has just a .607 OPS against Brown, but Houston's bullpen owns a 4.43 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP this season. Take the Red Sox as my Game of the Week, and bet this one to stay UNDER the total.