Boston at Detroit

If your gauging this one by reputation, this line makes sense.  When you gauge this by what is happening on the field, it does not. The Red Sox are 13-16 on the road while the Tigers have been a top team at home going 15-8. So the only true value can be on Detroit. Josh Beckett is a solid pitcher, but most of that has been earned in the post-season. The fact is Beckett in the last four years pitched great in '07, but in the year prior had a 5.01 ERA and the last two years he has had a 4+ ERA, so he has been more than hittable during the regular season and has allowed more hits than innings pitched this year and has also walked 28. That hardly represents a team with a losing record on the road to be a huge favorite. His career numbers vs the Tigers show a 4.15ERA and the Tigers are not getting due respect at home. I'm going with them in this one as a live dog.