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Boston at Colorado

October 27, 2007
img8:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Colorado +134 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 2)
Result:
LOSS

The Red Sox swept the games at Fenway and now it is time for the Rockies to make their last stand. While the talking heads have built Colorado's coffin, this is not a team that gives up. They were one strike away from missing the playoffs and they didn't get here by laying down. While they certainly don't want to be down 0-2, there are a few good signs for Colorado going into game three. The first is that the Red Sox bats showed signs of cooling off. Secondly, they are at home and  the Rockies were the best team in the NL at home. Also, tonight the Sox line-up will be weakened in two ways. Youkilis will be on the bench and Ortiz will be playing first. A bit less potent line-up, and a down grade at first base defensively will give Colorado a couple of much-needed edges. Diasuke Matsusaka has really struggled late in the season. He has carried a 5.65 ERA through two post-season starts and has really hit the wall. His woes aren't limited to the playoffs. The Red Sox are just 6-10 with him on the mound as a road favorite and 6-9 in his last 15 starts overall. This will be a great opportunity for the Rockies to turn the series momentum around. Josh Fogg has pitched much better with a 3.24 post-season ERA. The Rockies finally have the edge being at home and a favorable pitching match-up. And, let's not forget the Rocks are 63-37 this season vs. winning teams including 9-1 in their last 10 with Fogg on the mound. They are also 8-1 at home vs. high-scoring AL teams (5.2+ rpg) the past two seasons. We will ride the home team as a dog tonight.

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Boston Red Sox
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10
Colorado Rockies
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5
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