Boston at Cleveland

Two of the top four offenses in baseball clash in this one. Boston is tops in runs scored, on-base percentage and slugging, off a 7-5 win here yesterday. Red Sox starter Rick Porcello (4.30 ERA) has allowed 12 runs on 19 hits, five homers, in his last four starts (20+ innings). The team is 13-3 OVER the total when Porcello faces the AL Central. He faces a patient Cleveland offense that is fourth in runs scored, seventh in on-base percentage, fifth in slugging. The OVER is 9-2 when the Indians are at home against a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Starter Mike Clevinger is winless with an 11.05 ERA in two career games versus Boston and the OVER is on a 9-4-2 run when he starts at home. Take the OVER.