Baltimore at Washington

Baltimore winds up a five-game road trip here with a pitching staff that's 23rd in ERA (4.96) and 15th in WHIP. They are short on starters and turn to reliever Bradish Kyle to start this one. He has only thrown 1+ inning and last year had a 4.90 ERA in 117+ innings walking 46 batters while giving up 119 hits. The Orioles are 3-8 against a lefty starter and MLB road teams like Baltimore that allow 4.9 or more runs per game are 6-27 after a combined score of 2 runs or fewer. Washington has split the last two games, losing 1-0 to Baltimore along with a 7-6 win over Cleveland as a +195 dog. They're 4-6 over the last 10, winning all four as a dog. Starter MacKenzie Gore (3.00 ERA) has thrown well in 15 innings, including a 1.69 ERA at home. MLB home teams after a loss by two runs or less are 105-52 after scoring one run or fewer in the last game. The wagering value is on the home team to win or lose by one run. Play Washington on the run line.