Baltimore at Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay has won two in a row and three of five. This offense can wear down pitching staffs, 12th in baseball in on base percentage, drawing five walks in yesterday's 3-2 win. The Rays are 10-2 in righty Jeremy Hellickson's last 12 Sunday get-away starts. He faces Baltimore team that is struggling, losing five in a row on the road, and the Orioles are 2-6 in their last eight road games against a right-handed starter. Hellickson is 8-4 against Baltimore with a 3.25 ERA. Baltimore goes with erratic Bud Norris, who is good at home (2.88 ERA), but that balloons to a 4.73 ERA on the road. He also has a 4.63 ERA against Tampa Bay this season, walking six in 11+ innings. The Rays are 6-2 in Hellickson's last eight home starts against the Orioles, so all the value is with the home dog. Play Tampa Bay.