This pick was released to clients on July 18, 2025 at 11:48AM ET.
img MLB

Baltimore at Tampa Bay

July 18, 2025
img7:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Last-place Baltimore is getting outscored by 90 runs, the third-worst differential in the AL. The offense is 22nd in runs scored, 23rd in on-base percentage, 15th in slugging, and 15th in steals. Starter Charlie Morton (5.18 ERA) has a 5.97 ERA on the road, where the home teams hit .290 off him. The bullpen ranks 25th with a 4.63 ERA. The Rays needed the All-Star break, ending the first half on a 10-game road trip. Tampa Bay's offense is ninth in runs scored, 12th in slugging, and No. 1 in steals. Starter Taj Bradley is holding batters to a .237 average, so back home field. Play Tampa Bay. 

1.5 units on Tampa Bay -119 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.76)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Baltimore Orioles
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
Tampa Bay Rays img
3
1
1
0
0
6
0
0
11
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get $50 of premium MLB picks free.

Join 403,647 Subscribers!