Baltimore at San Diego

We rarely pick favorites this large but we can't resist here. We think there is true value here as the Pads should be 3-to-1 favorites or more. The Orioles are on a free-fall. They have now lost eight in a row and 13 of 15. They have managed 4 runs or less in 13 of 15 games and now must go on the road against Jake Peavy. Peavy has simply been the best pitcher in baseball this season. The Padres are 14-6 in their last 20 at home and 7-1 with Peavy on the hill and 10-1 going back to the end of last season. Peavy has surrendered just 1 HR in 94 innings of work and should have no trouble holding down a listless Oriole attack.