Baltimore at San Diego

Baltimore is 7-27 on the road this season for a reason - they can't score. This team is averaging just 3.1 runs per game on the road, and they fare slightly worse vs. LHP. The O's are 22-11 UNDER on the road and 14-8 UNDER vs. southpaws this season. They are also 30-14 UNDER in night games. San Diego is no scoring machine either, averaging only 4.3 per game at home. While getting off to a poor start, Brian Matusz has picked things up, posting a 2.65 ERA in his last three starts. Wade LeBlanc has been lights-out all season. He's allowed just 11 earned runs in seven home starts and his ERA is just 1.47 in his last three starts. The Pads are 18-4 UNDER as a home favorite of -150 or more the past three seasons. This one has UNDER written all over it and that's where I'm going.