Baltimore at Minnesota

The Orioles have fallen off the face of the Earth on the road at 21-43, and appear to be on their way to a second-consecutive 50-loss season on the road. Those numbers get worse against right-hand pitching where the O's have turned in just a 14-38 mark in their last 52, or winners of just 26.9% of the games. The Twins, by contrast have been a dominating home team, especially as a favorite where they are 61-28 in their last 89, or winning 69% of the time. The Orioles have been bad playing in Minnesota, where they are 3-9 or winners of 25% of the last 12 played here. Add in the fact the Twins are killing left-hand pitching at home to the tune of 26-9, which is winning 74.3% of the time, and this line looks very favorable and loaded with value. I'll play the Twins here.