Baltimore at Chicago

Baltimore has quietly won eight of 12 while cashing six times as an underdog. The Orioles have won four of five against losing teams after shutting out Chicago yesterday, 4-0, as a +145 dog. They are 18-14 as a dog of +125 to +175, they are ranked seventh in bullpen ERA, and are 23-11 UNDER the total against teams that are outscored by 0.5 or more runs per contest. Chicago has a losing home record and is unable to get this offense going. The White Sox bats are ranked 23rd in runs scored, 18th in on-base percentage, and 20th in slugging. The bullpen is 20th in ERA (4.27), which is important as young starter Michael Kopech walks too many batters (25 in 56+ innings) and has averaged four innings over his last four starts. Chicago is 58-41 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5, so back the dog in a defensive duel. Play Baltimore and UNDER the total.