2008 Season MLB Baseball Past Picks
April 12, 2008
Atlanta at Washington
Saturday 04/12 01:05 PM Eastern
3 units on Atlanta -1.5 runs +100 (runline) (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: WIN
When John Smoltz takes the mound, the Braves expect to win. Over the last two years when Smoltz has been on the hill and the Braves are on the road and win, they are 14-2 against the -1.5 runline. The Nats were 11-30 in home losses last year against the 1.5 runline and that's where the value lies in the game today. The Nats surprised with a 3-0 start, but are now on an eight-game losing streak. They have scored just three runs in their last two games. Smoltz is 54-16 against teams that average under one homerun per game and 31-11 against the runline vs. NL teams scoring under 4.4 runs per game. We'll ride the Braves to roll to a convincing win on the road behind Smoltz.