The 1.5 runs we get on San Francisco here on the +1.5 runline represents nearly 20% of the expected 8 total runs in this game. This season the Giants are 21-11 to the runline in expected low-scoring games (games with a total under 9). The Giants have lost just seven home games out of 23 this season by more than one run. Atlanta has won just 7 of 20 road games by more than one run. San Francisco has good shot at winning this game outright and a very good chance of at least keeping it within a run.
MLB
Atlanta at San Francisco
May 27, 2009
10:15 PM Eastern
2 units on San Francisco +100 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 2)
Result:
WIN
WIN
4 units on San Francisco +1.5 runs -170 (runline) (risk 4 to return 4)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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