Atlanta at Miami

The Braves are 32-15 and have outscored their opponents by 98 runs. The Marlins are 21-26 and have been outscored by 13 runs. Yet Miami is favored. Has the oddsmaker lost his mind? No. Miami is on the right side here. Not only are the Marlins at home, where they have a winning record, but hold a starting pitching edge with Max Meyer against JR Ritchie. Meyer is 3-0 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. He has a 10.2 per nine innings strikeout rate. Ritchie has a respected 3.32 ERA, but a problematic 1.43 WHIP with control issues - 15 walks in just 21.2 innings. Atlanta's lineup is not at full strength either, missing both Ronald Acuna Jr. and Sean Murphy to injury. Take the Marlins.