Atlanta at Miami

It's the fifth straight road game for Atlanta. They're on a 6-6 run losing six times as chalk along with a 9-8 win at the Mets as a two-dollar favorite. Starter Kyle Wright (4.86 ERA) has walked 9 in 16 innings with the Braves losing his last two starts, including 5-4 to this Miami squad his last time out. Miami has won four of five, as well as nine of its last 12 at home. The Marlins have won four straight starts made by Braxton Garrett (2.45 ERA). He has a 3.12 ERA at home this season after having a 2.63 home ERA in 2022. Miami is 10-0 in one-run games this year, including that upset win at Atlanta with the same starting pitchers as this one. The wagering value is on the home team to keep it close, either winning or losing by one run. Play Miami on the run line.