Atlanta at Miami

Don't look now but the Marlins are on a roll having won six of their last eight games. They go for the series win vs. Atlanta this afternoon. Atlanta's Jair Jurrjens has been amazing at home this season but on the road he is 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA. Chris Volstad has a 3.55 ERA at home. In day games this season, Florida owns a winning record and they are allowing just 3.3 runs per game. They also own a winning mark vs. division opponents. Atlanta is coming off a big win last game but that doesn't bode well for them as the Braves are just 15-37 on the road after a win by 4+ runs the past three seasons. Meanwhile, Florida is 11-2 revenging a loss in which they allowed 10+ runs. I like Florida today and will back them on the +1.5 runline here.