Atlanta at Cincinnati

The Cincinnati Reds, at 58-53 on the season, have moved to within 3.5 games of the last wildcard spot in the NL. The Reds are 6-3 over their last nine games, after splitting the first two games of this series at home vs. Atlanta. Their pitching has allowed four or fewer runs in six of the last nine games. Atlanta is 42-35 to the UNDER on the season as a favorite of -110 or more. The genuine interest here is the totals in Cincinnati home games. The Reds are 35-18 to the UNDER at home on the season, and 32-13 to the UNDER when facing an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season. (17-6 in this spot at home). I like the UNDER in this one.