Arizona vs. San Diego

Arizona and San Diego enter with matching records, and the version of this Diamondbacks club right now is the one that plays every game close. They split their last two with Milwaukee by a combined two runs, a 4-3 win and a 3-2 loss, and that's been the pattern for a team that's gone 16-14 in one-run games this season. Walker Buehler gives the Padres a real edge on the mound, but San Diego's offense hasn't been doing its part lately, and Brandon Pfaadt only needs to keep this in the same neighborhood to give Arizona a puncher's chance. I like the value on Arizona here. Take the Diamondbacks on the moneyline.