Arizona at Milwaukee

The Milwaukee Brewers (83-50) have the best record in baseball and have taken the first two games in this series, but their pitching is a concern. Milwaukee has allowed eight of its last nine opponents to score 4+ runs, and they're giving a lot of free passes in the form of walks and stolen bases. That could be risky against a team like Arizona, which is third in slugging percentage, fourth in OPS, and third in extra-base hits. The Diamondbacks came into town off back-to-back series wins at home, and scored 13 runs in the first two at American Family Field. They're seven back in the NL wild-card chase, and can ill-afford another loss here today. Ryne Nelson is starting, and he's done well under the lights this year, going 4-1 with a 2.96 ERA, but he needs run support. Arizona has scored 6.0 runs per game in its last six road starts, and they are 15-3 on the road this season following a game where it leaned on the pen for 6+ innings. Grab the D-backs at plus-money.