Arizona at Baltimore

After blowing a six-run lead in a 9-7 loss to the Orioles last night, the Diamondbacks are anxious to tie up the series. They are a good value here with Merrill Kelly set to make his first start of the season. Kelly posted a 3.22 ERA with one home run and 2.7 walks per nine innings with Arizona last season. Kelly takes on an Orioles team that is missing three of their better bats in injured Tyler O'Neill, Adley Rutschman and Ryan Mountcastle. Despite their outburst last night, the Orioles rank 16th in runs and 20th in homers. Baltimore starter Trevor Rogers has looked good in his first two starts with a 1.89 ERA after a breakthrough season last year. But Rogers is a lefty, and the Diamondbacks are 4-0 versus southpaws this season, ranking in the top eight in batting average and slugging percentage against lefties. Take the Diamondbacks.