Braxton Ashcraft has quietly turned into one of the better arms in the National League this year, sitting on a 3.49 ERA and swing-and-miss stuff that’s held up start after start, and tonight he takes that form on the road to the Bronx. The Pirates have gotten little national attention while pushing for a Wild Card spot, but Ashcraft’s stuff has been good enough to keep just about any lineup in check this season, exactly the kind of arm that keeps a score down against a good club. Weathers counters for New York with a serviceable but unspectacular ERA north of four, and neither pitcher figures to get chased early. Add in bullpens on both sides that haven’t been overworked the last few days, and this shapes up as a pitchers’ duel more than a track meet. With the Yankees likely held below their typical scoring pace and Pittsburgh’s staff built to grind out low-scoring nights, the total shouldn’t need to sniff the number the market posted. Take the UNDER tonight.
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Pirates vs. Yankees Betting Picks
Get Pirates vs. Yankees betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Pirates vs. Yankees game.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game is that New York will win by a score of 4.8 to 4.6 with New York winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
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Public Consensus
Who is the public on? 86% of the public money is on New York Yankees to win on the moneyline. And, 85% of the bets are on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game is that Pittsburgh will win by a score of 5.4 to 4.5 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 60% of the public money was on New York Yankees to win on the moneyline. And, 91% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 4.2 to 3.3 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
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MLB
Pittsburgh at New York
7:05 PM Eastern
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 76% of the public money was on New York Yankees to win on the moneyline. And, 78% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 5.1 to 3.9 with New York winning on the moneyline, Pittsburgh winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
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MLB
New York at Pittsburgh
1:35 PM Eastern
New York is on a 7-6-1 run UNDER the total on the road. Will Warren gave the Yankees 5 strong innings in his first start (one hit, 2 runs). He faces a Pittsburgh offense that is 27th in runs scored, 21st in on-base percentage, and 29th in slugging. Andrew Heaney allowed one run in his first start, a 3-2 loss to Miami. He had a 3.64 ERA at home last season holding visitors to a .203 average. That was in Texas, a tough place to pitch. He also threw 9+ innings against the Bronx Bombers in 2024 and had a 2.79 ERA holding them to a .222 average. The Pirates are on a 15-9 run UNDER the total. Take New York/Pittsburgh UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 81% of the public money was on New York Yankees to win on the moneyline. And, 69% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 4.7 to 4.3 with New York winning on the moneyline, Pittsburgh winning on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
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