New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates

New York is on a 7-6-1 run UNDER the total on the road. Will Warren gave the Yankees 5 strong innings in his first start (one hit, 2 runs). He faces a Pittsburgh offense that is 27th in runs scored, 21st in on-base percentage, and 29th in slugging. Andrew Heaney allowed one run in his first start, a 3-2 loss to Miami. He had a 3.64 ERA at home last season holding visitors to a .203 average. That was in Texas, a tough place to pitch. He also threw 9+ innings against the Bronx Bombers in 2024 and had a 2.79 ERA holding them to a .222 average. The Pirates are on a 15-9 run UNDER the total. Take New York/Pittsburgh UNDER the total.

The New York Yankees salvaged Game 3 of their series with Arizona at home and completed their homestand at 4-2. They take to the road to play Pittsburgh, which has started very slowly at 2-5 to open the season. The Pirates' offense isn't built to score many runs, as they have crossed the plate 19 times in their first seven games, or 2.71 runs per game. The Yankees have been one of the most potent offensive teams. The Yankees have set the record for the most home runs by a team through six games of the season. The Bronx Bombers have hit 23 HR's already, or about four per game. The Yankees have scored 53 runs in six games, or about nine per contest. I have to keep riding this wave until it crests. Make the play on the NY Yankees.

New York lost 9-4 on Saturday although it still locked up the top seed in the American League due to Cleveland's loss as the Yankees hold the tiebreaker. Pittsburgh is tied for last in the NL Central and it is 0-6 its past six games as an underdog of +151 to +200. Bailey Falter starts for the Pirates with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Pittsburgh has lost his past two outings, including 7-2 to Miami on Tuesday when Falter allowed four runs in five innings. Clarke Schmidt gets the start for the Yankees and he has a 2.55 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP this season. He's made four starts since coming off the injury list and allowed only six earned runs in 20 2/3 innings. New York is 7-1 after losing the first two games of a series and it has won four straight home games against left-handed starters. The Pirates are 5-0 UNDER when Falter starts as a +151 to +200 underdog and they have stayed UNDER five of seven overall. Take the Yankees and the UNDER.