I had the Mets yesterday, and they beat Washington 7-1 with Jonah Tong allowing one run over five innings. That game finished at eight runs, and I expect the finale to play tighter. Sean Manaea's 4.67 ERA reads worse than the pitcher taking the ball today. He's allowed two earned runs in each of his last two starts, the latest a six-inning outing at Texas with nine strikeouts. DJ Herz makes his second start back from Tommy John surgery after throwing 63 pitches in his debut, so a quick hook is likely and Washington's bullpen will be asked for innings. That pen carries a 5.03 ERA, and it's the real threat here. The lineup it faces offsets that: the Mets rank 24th in OPS this season. Washington ranks third in runs per game, but it has scored 17 runs over its last five games. Both clubs are eliminated and playing game 162 with nothing left on the line. Take the UNDER this afternoon.
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Mets vs. Nationals Betting Picks
Get Mets vs. Nationals betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Mets vs. Nationals game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 66% of the public money was on New York Mets to win on the moneyline. And, 85% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Washington would win by a score of 6.0 to 5.0 with Washington winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
New York at Washington
Final Score
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 53% of the public money was on New York Mets to win on the moneyline. And, 72% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Washington would win by a score of 6.0 to 5.0 with Washington winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
New York at Washington
Washington took the series opener 7-6 last night, building a three-run lead by the third and surviving a Mets rally that cut the deficit to one in the eighth. The pitching setup changes this afternoon. Washington hands the ball to Connelly Early, who hasn't thrown a major league pitch since June 30 and has spent the summer working back from elbow inflammation. He came over in a July trade and still hasn't appeared for his new club, and nobody stretches a returning arm out in the season's final days. That pushes the middle innings onto a bullpen carrying a 5.00 ERA, a group that already covered four-plus innings last night. The Mets answer with relievers at 3.78 and with Jonah Tong, uneven at a 4.21 ERA but coming off six scoreless innings against Baltimore on September 14. Washington scores plenty, third in the majors at 5.09 runs per game, and has won seven of its last ten. It also allows 5.03, 27th in the majors, and today's plan makes that half of the ledger worse. The Mets are 73-87 and three games behind Washington, and none of that changes who can throw strikes today. Take the Mets this afternoon.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 55% of the public money was on New York Mets to win on the moneyline. And, 90% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Washington would win by a score of 3.3 to 1.7 with Washington winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 74% of the public money was on New York Mets to win on the moneyline. And, 70% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 5.9 to 4.1 with New York winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 51% of the public money was on New York Mets to win on the moneyline. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 5.5 to 4.5 with New York winning on the moneyline, Washington winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
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