Previous Matchups & Picks

September 27, 2026 1:05pm ET
@
New York Mets
New York Mets
#953
Manaea
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
#954
Herz

Lines & Odds

-1.5 (+149)
Runline
+1.5 (-174)
-111
Moneyline
-103
OVER 8.5 (+100)
Total
UNDER 8.5 (-120)

Mets vs. Nationals Betting Picks

Get Mets vs. Nationals betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Mets vs. Nationals game.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 66% of the public money was on New York Mets to win on the moneyline. And, 85% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Washington would win by a score of 6.0 to 5.0 with Washington winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on September 27, 2026 at 9:39AM ET.
img MLB

New York at Washington

September 27, 2026
img1:05 PM Eastern

I had the Mets yesterday, and they beat Washington 7-1 with Jonah Tong allowing one run over five innings. That game finished at eight runs, and I expect the finale to play tighter. Sean Manaea's 4.67 ERA reads worse than the pitcher taking the ball today. He's allowed two earned runs in each of his last two starts, the latest a six-inning outing at Texas with nine strikeouts. DJ Herz makes his second start back from Tommy John surgery after throwing 63 pitches in his debut, so a quick hook is likely and Washington's bullpen will be asked for innings. That pen carries a 5.03 ERA, and it's the real threat here. The lineup it faces offsets that: the Mets rank 24th in OPS this season. Washington ranks third in runs per game, but it has scored 17 runs over its last five games. Both clubs are eliminated and playing game 162 with nothing left on the line. Take the UNDER this afternoon.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
New York Mets
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
Washington Nationals img
1
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
6

MLB Pro Pick Results

Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.

MLBMLB Max Plays this season last 4.9 months
Wins
Losses
Units
43
22
+30.69
MLBMLB All Picks last 3.3 months
Wins
Losses
Units
149
121
+20.57
MLBMLB All Picks this season last 5.2 months
Wins
Losses
Units
10
3
+15.31
MLBMLB All Playoff Picks last 14.0 years
Wins
Losses
Units
231
212
+8.74
MLBMLB Free Picks this season last 28 days
Wins
Losses
Units
5
1
+4.05
September 26, 2026 12:35pm ET
@
New York Mets
New York Mets
#903
Tong
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
#904
Early

Lines & Odds

-1.5 (+150)
Runline
+1.5 (-175)
-105
Moneyline
-109
OVER 8.5 (-105)
Total
UNDER 8.5 (-115)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 53% of the public money was on New York Mets to win on the moneyline. And, 72% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Washington would win by a score of 6.0 to 5.0 with Washington winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on September 26, 2026 at 10:18AM ET.
img MLB

New York at Washington

September 26, 2026
img12:35 PM Eastern

Washington took the series opener 7-6 last night, building a three-run lead by the third and surviving a Mets rally that cut the deficit to one in the eighth. The pitching setup changes this afternoon. Washington hands the ball to Connelly Early, who hasn't thrown a major league pitch since June 30 and has spent the summer working back from elbow inflammation. He came over in a July trade and still hasn't appeared for his new club, and nobody stretches a returning arm out in the season's final days. That pushes the middle innings onto a bullpen carrying a 5.00 ERA, a group that already covered four-plus innings last night. The Mets answer with relievers at 3.78 and with Jonah Tong, uneven at a 4.21 ERA but coming off six scoreless innings against Baltimore on September 14. Washington scores plenty, third in the majors at 5.09 runs per game, and has won seven of its last ten. It also allows 5.03, 27th in the majors, and today's plan makes that half of the ledger worse. The Mets are 73-87 and three games behind Washington, and none of that changes who can throw strikes today. Take the Mets this afternoon.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
New York Mets img
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1
2
7
Washington Nationals
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
September 25, 2026 6:45pm ET
@
New York Mets
New York Mets
#951
TBD
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
#952
Alvarez

Lines & Odds

-1.5 (+154)
Runline
+1.5 (-182)
-105
Moneyline
-109
OVER 8.5 (-120)
Total
UNDER 8.5 (+100)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 55% of the public money was on New York Mets to win on the moneyline. And, 90% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Washington would win by a score of 3.3 to 1.7 with Washington winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
New York Mets
1
0
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
6
Washington Nationals img
2
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
7
August 16, 2026 1:40pm ET
@
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
#953
Irvin
New York Mets
New York Mets
#954
Scott

Lines & Odds

+1.5 (-148)
Runline
-1.5 (+127)
+146
Moneyline
-164
OVER 8.5 (-120)
Total
UNDER 8.5 (+100)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 74% of the public money was on New York Mets to win on the moneyline. And, 70% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 5.9 to 4.1 with New York winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Washington Nationals
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
New York Mets img
0
0
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
4
August 15, 2026 4:10pm ET
@
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
#905
Lord
New York Mets
New York Mets
#906
Manaea

Lines & Odds

+1.5 (-177)
Runline
-1.5 (+153)
+122
Moneyline
-136
OVER 7.5 (-115)
Total
UNDER 7.5 (-105)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 51% of the public money was on New York Mets to win on the moneyline. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 5.5 to 4.5 with New York winning on the moneyline, Washington winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Washington Nationals
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
0
4
New York Mets img
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
5

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