New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners Betting Picks

Seattle has won eight straight games, sweeping through the first two contests of this Mets series at T-Mobile Park — including an 8-3 shellacking yesterday, powered by three home runs. The Mariners are 8-2 over their last ten and have gone deep 21 times during the winning streak. George Kirby has seen his ERA inflate over his recent turns, but the team keeps producing behind him, and his walk rate remains under control — the command is still there. Freddy Peralta is the concern on the other side: he's been running close to a 3.50 ERA over his last three starts and has a well-documented problem getting past the fifth inning cleanly, which means New York's bullpen gets stretched early. The Mets are 11-20 on the road and have dropped five straight away from home. This series has belonged to Seattle from the start, and the finale follows the same script. The Mariners close out the sweep. 

The Mets arrive in Seattle at 26-33 with a roster operating well below full strength — Francisco Lindor, Jorge Polanco, Francisco Alvarez, and Clay Holmes are all on the injured list, leaving New York piecing together both their lineup and their rotation on the fly. The Mariners counter with Logan Gilbert, their Opening Day starter and the anchor of one of the game's best rotations. Seattle has won six straight games and leads the AL West by two and a half, playing at home in front of a lineup that has been one of the hottest offensive units in the league — Julio Rodriguez has been relentless at the plate, and the team is flat-out rolling right now. The structural advantages tonight are all Seattle's. Take the Mariners.

New York is in desperate need of a win, and it will turn to Nolan McLean, the Mets' top pitching prospect, to turn things around in his MLB debut. McLean has 127 strikeouts in 113 2/3 innings in the minors this year with a 2.78 ERA with Triple-A Syracuse. The UNDER is 5-0 in Seattle's past five road games against right-handed starters, and the Mariners have gone UNDER seven of eight road games overall. Bryan Woo hasn't been quite as effective on the road, where he is 4-4 with a 3.62 ERA compared to 6-2 and 2.39 at home. New York's bullpen hasn't been a major problem, as it has 35 saves and a 1.30 WHIP. It's the starting rotation that New York hopes to shore up with McLean in the mix. Take the Mets and the UNDER.