Pittsburgh lost to the Mets yesterday, 4-2. The offense is 17th in on-base percentage and 25th in walks, after ranking last in runs scored and 23rd in on-base percentage in 2025. Carmen Mlodzinski had a 3.55 ERA last year, including throwing 3+ shutout innings against the Mets. The Pirates are on a 21-8-1 run UNDER the total. New York's Nolan McLean has great stuff, including a 98 MPH sinker. He had a 2.06 ERA last season, including 0.37 at home. Take Pittsburgh/New York UNDER the total.
Previous Matchups & Picks
August 9, 2026 1:35pm ET
@
New York Mets
#903
Manaea
Pittsburgh Pirates
#904
Jones
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-173)
Runline
-1.5 (+148)
+124
Moneyline
-139
OVER 8.5 (-105)
Total
UNDER 8.5 (-115)
Mets vs. Pirates Betting Picks
Get Mets vs. Pirates betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Mets vs. Pirates game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 58% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 5.0 to 4.6 with New York winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
New York Mets 
2
0
3
4
1
0
1
0
0
11
Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
MLB Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
MLBMLB
Max Plays this season last 3.3 months
Wins
Losses
Units
25
8
+28.78
MLBMLB
All Picks last 1.7 months
Wins
Losses
Units
87
74
+13.25
MLBMLB
All Picks this season last 3.6 months
Wins
Losses
Units
8
2
+12.93
MLBMLB
Free Picks this season last 18 days
Wins
Losses
Units
5
2
+2.66
MLBMLB
All Playoff Picks last 13.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
216
204
+1.73
MLBMLB
Between teams last 1 day
Wins
Losses
Units
1
0
+0.87
August 8, 2026 6:40pm ET
@
New York Mets
#951
Stock
Pittsburgh Pirates
#952
Chandler
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-194)
Runline
-1.5 (+166)
+104
Moneyline
-116
OVER 9 (-120)
Total
UNDER 9 (+100)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 55% of the public money was on New York Mets to win on the moneyline. And, 58% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 5.9 to 4.1 with New York winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
New York Mets
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Pittsburgh Pirates
3
0
1
4
0
0
1
0
0
9
August 7, 2026 6:40pm ET
@
New York Mets
#901
Thornton
Pittsburgh Pirates
#902
Mlodzinski
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-178)
Runline
-1.5 (+153)
+118
Moneyline
-132
OVER 8 (-115)
Total
UNDER 8 (-105)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 53% of the public money was on New York Mets to win on the moneyline. And, 50% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 4.8 to 4.8 with New York winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
New York Mets
1
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
6
Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
4
March 29, 2026 1:40pm ET
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
#953
Mlodzinski
New York Mets
#954
Mclean
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-141)
Runline
-1.5 (+120)
+157
Moneyline
-180
OVER 7.5 (-115)
Total
UNDER 7.5 (-105)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 70% of the public money was on New York Mets to win on the moneyline. And, 62% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 5.2 to 3.7 with New York winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
This Pro Pick was released to clients on March 29, 2026 at 11:19AM ET.
MLB
Pittsburgh at New York
March 29, 2026
1:40 PM Eastern
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
E
R
Pittsburgh Pirates
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
New York Mets
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
March 28, 2026 4:10pm ET
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
#905
Keller
New York Mets
#906
Peterson
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-153)
Runline
-1.5 (+131)
+147
Moneyline
-169
OVER 7.5 (-105)
Total
UNDER 7.5 (-120)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 66% of the public money was on New York Mets to win on the moneyline. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 4.8 to 3.6 with New York winning on the moneyline, Pittsburgh winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
E
R
Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
New York Mets
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
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