Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas Rangers

Texas has lost five road games in a row, including 3-1 to the Brewers last night when Joey Ortiz hit a tiebreaking homer in the fifth inning for Milwaukee, which won despite leaving 10 men on base. The Brewers have won three in a row and improved to 24-12 at home this season. The Rangers are 17-23 on the road and they are 6-1 UNDER in Nathan Eovaldi's past seven interleague starts. Milwaukee is 5-1-2 UNDER its past eight interleague games. Eovaldi has a 2.22 ERA at home, but it rises to 5.06 in away games. Take the Brewers and the UNDER.

The Texas Rangers are 37-41 on the season, and their pitching has done a lot more than the hitting, as the Rangers are 46-28-4 UNDER on the season. This has been a season-long theme for the Rangers, as the offense doesn't score on a consistent basis, while the pitching is holding down opponents. Bryce Wilson will take the ball for Milwaukee. He has been an UNDER pitcher this year as in his nine decisions on the season, six stayed UNDER the total. I like the UNDER in this one.

Milwaukee snapped a three-game skid by scoring five times in the second inning featuring a two-run single by Blake Perkins and the Brewers went on to a 6-2 win over San Diego. The Brewers have won three of Freddie Peralta's past four starts, including 2-0 over the Los Angeles Angels on Wednesday when he allowed no runs on three hits in six innings. Texas has gone UNDER 13 of 20 games and the Rangers are 12-6 UNDER their past 18 versus NL teams. Michael Lorenzen will start for Texas, which has lost its last three road games and the Rangers are 17-21 on the road in 2024 while Milwaukee is 22-12 at home. The Brewers are 7-0 their past seven interleague games as favorites of -151 to -200 and the Rangers are 1-6 in Lorenzen's past seven starts following a quality start his last appearance. The UNDER is 5-0 when Lorenzen has five days of rest. Take the Brewers and the UNDER.

Texas will look to salvage the final game of the series and the Rangers still are 42-23 at home this season and 15-6 its past 21 games as a favorite and the Brewers are 2-7 their past nine as underdogs. Max Scherzer is 12-4 with a 1.13 WHIP with the Mets and Rangers this season and Texas has won all three games since he was acquired from New York. Scherzer has allowed only four runs on 11 hits in 20 innings and he is 5-0 with a 2.15 ERA in home games this season whether they were in New York or Texas. Adrian Houser has been inconsistent for Milwaukee and he gave up four runs (three earned) in 5 1/3 innings against the Dodgers on Tuesday. The UNDER is 10-3-1 in Houser's past 14 starts and the Rangers have gone UNDER eight of 11 interleague games. Take the Rangers and the UNDER.

Texas had been getting great pitching before Friday's 9-8 loss to the Brewers. The Rangers had allowed only 18 runs in nine games and gone UNDER in nine of them and Dane Dunning will start today's game. Dunning is 9-4 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.14 WHIP an he has given up just five runs his past three starts in 20 2/3 innings, including one run on seven hits in seven innings against San Francisco on Sunday. Milwaukee batters are 5-for-24 against him with no homers. Freddy Peralta has been a hot pitcher recently allowing only four runs his past four starts covering 25 innings with an astounding 39 strikeouts. The Texas bullpen has a 1.22 WHIP compared to 1.25 for the Brewers. Play the UNDER.