Milwaukee Brewers vs Seattle Mariners

A pair of pitching-rich teams clash. Seattle is 11th in the majors in bullpen ERA (3.26) and 12th in WHIP. Last season, the Mariners were fourth in bullpen ERA (3.48) and eighth in WHIP. Baseball games involving two teams that had winning records in the previous season are 73-34 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. Milwaukee is ninth in bullpen WHIP. In 2023, the Brewers were second in relief staff ERA (3.40) and third in WHIP. Colin Rea (1.80 ERA) shut down the Mets in his first start, a 4-1 victory, and the Brewers are 58-37 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10. Take Seattle/Milwaukee UNDER the total.  

Seattle had a winning road record last year. They dropped their first road game this season yesterday, 5-4 to the Brewers, but are still 170-159 in April road contests. Starter Bryce Miller had an uneven opener but had a winning record in 2023 when he held batters to a .248 average. Milwaukee's offense is just 24th in runs scored, while the bullpen is 17th in ERA (4.56). Young D.L. Hall (4.50 ERA) gets the nod and has a career 2-4 record in the majors along with a 4.38 career ERA. The Brewers are 27-27 versus teams that outscore their opponents by one or more runs per game, so back the visitors. Play Seattle. 

Logan Gilbert pitched well in his first start of the season on Saturday as he allowed only one run on four hits in seven innings against Boston. Gilbert was 13-7 with a 3.73 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 2023 with 189 strikeouts in 190.2 innings pitched. Milwaukee won its first four games of the season before losing 7-3 to Minnesota on Wednesday. Three of the wins came against the moribund New York Mets. The bullpen gave up all seven runs after Joe Ross was relieved in the fourth inning against the Twins. The Mariners are 24-12 in Gilbert's road games the past two seasons and 17-7 when he starts on the road following a loss. Also, Seattle is 15-5 in road contests when Gilbert starts against teams with winning records. Back the Mariners as a Max Play. 

Milwaukee has won five of six and three in a row after defeating the Mariners 6-5 in 11 innings on Tuesday as Willy Adames drove in three runs, including the go-ahead run in the 11th. The Brewers are 13-5 and in first place in the NL Central and have Eric Lauer going today and he has pitched well in two of his three starts, including an 11-2 win over San Diego on Friday when he allowed one run on five hits in six innings. Milwaukee's bullpen is tops in the majors with a 2.05 ERA with five saves. Marco Gonzales will make his third start this season for the Mariners and he has given up five runs on 12 hits in 10 2/3 innings. The Brewers have won 21 of 28 interleague games and Seattle is 9-20 versus lefty starters dating to 2022. Milwaukee is 12-6 on the run line overall, including 8-4 on the road. Take the Brewers on the run line as a Max Play.