San Diego lost Game 1 by a single run after Ty France's ninth-inning drive, hit at 105 mph, hit the roof and came down in Jackson Chourio's glove for an out. The Padres out-hit Milwaukee 9-7 and chased Jacob Misiorowski after four innings. Milwaukee is 103-59 to San Diego's 91-71, and the price reflects that. Logan Henderson is 11-3 with a 2.47 ERA, but this is his first postseason start. He also lost to these Padres on August 10, when Xander Bogaerts was out of the lineup and Dustin Harris and Ethan Salas were still in Triple-A. All three are in the lineup now. Michael King is 12-10 with a 3.21 ERA and 159 strikeouts, and he takes the ball for a club that swept the Cubs in the wild-card round. San Diego has lost only four of its last 24 games, and Saturday was one of them. A rookie making his first playoff start against a lineup that looks different from the one that beat him is the soft spot I see in this number. The Padres need to win only about 44 times in 100 to break even, which is the kind of price our ledger is built on, and I make the Padres the play this afternoon.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Brewers vs. Padres Betting Picks
Get Brewers vs. Padres betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Brewers vs. Padres game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 54% of the public money was on San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline. And, 73% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Milwaukee would win by a score of 4.5 to 4.1 with Milwaukee winning on the moneyline, San Diego winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
MLB Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 68% of the public money was on San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline. And, 84% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that San Diego would win by a score of 4.5 to 3.9 with San Diego winning on the moneyline, Milwaukee winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 54% of the public money was on Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that San Diego would win by a score of 4.6 to 4.4 with San Diego winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
San Diego at Milwaukee
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 74% of the public money was on Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Milwaukee would win by a score of 2.6 to 2.4 with Milwaukee winning on the moneyline, San Diego winning on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
San Diego at Milwaukee
I had San Diego on Wednesday, and the Padres closed out the Cubs 4-1 to complete a Wild Card sweep, scoring 12 runs and allowing one. Milwaukee has not played since Sunday and enters the series at 103-59. Robbie Ray starts for San Diego, and his nine starts as a Padre have produced a 5.02 ERA and 27 walks in 43 innings. Jacob Misiorowski starts for the Brewers, who are 16-5 with a 1.80 ERA behind him, and opponents hit .157 against him. He struck out 252 batters in 174 2/3 innings. San Diego's pitching held Chicago to one run across two games, and Milwaukee scored 832 runs this season, second in baseball and 110 more than the Padres' 722. Milwaukee is 55-26 at home, and San Diego is 40-41 on the road. Take Milwaukee tonight.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 57% of the public money was on San Diego Padres to win on the moneyline. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that San Diego would win by a score of 5.6 to 3.4 with San Diego winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Get free MLB Picks
I pour over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning. You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.
Get a top-rated pick every day.