Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Betting Picks

Six runs got scored Thursday night when these two opened this series, and Miami's part in that modest total says more about where this offense stands than the final score does. The Marlins have lost ten straight games, scoring 2.6 runs a night during that stretch and hitting .223 as a team over their last ten. JP Sears has been a different pitcher since the calendar flipped to July, posting a 2.51 ERA across three starts after a rocky start to his Padres tenure. Eury Pérez counters off arguably his best outing of the year, six scoreless innings and nine strikeouts against Milwaukee last time out. San Diego's bullpen has also turned a corner this month, working to a sub-3.30 ERA over the past week. Miami hasn't shown signs of snapping out of it even against pitching far less sharp than what Sears has flashed lately, and this UNDER doesn't need either arm to be dominant, just competent, against a team that can't buy a run right now. Take the UNDER this afternoon.

Miami's offense has gone ice cold at exactly the wrong time, losers of nine straight while averaging under three runs a game over that stretch, the kind of freeze that doesn't fix itself overnight. San Diego strung together 21 runs over its last four games, but that came against Atlanta's bullpen, and the Padres now walk into a different look entirely against a Miami staff that has quietly kept a lid on scoring for more than a week. German Marquez gets the ball for San Diego, carrying a 4.20 ERA since returning from the injured list in July, a real step down from his season-long number, even as he's still building his workload back up in shorter outings. Miami still hasn't named a starter for tonight, which usually points to a bullpen day, and that kind of patchwork approach tends to leave an already cold lineup searching for the extra-base hits it needs to push a total higher. Both teams need this series, but the version of Miami taking the field tonight hasn't scored in bunches in more than a week. Take the UNDER tonight.

Miami lost a tough one on Monday night as the Padres scored twice in the second inning and it held up for a 2-1 win. The Marlins have Edward Cabrera going tonight and San Diego hitters are 5-for-26 against him for a .192 batting average. Cabrera has a 3.16 ERA with 50 strikeouts in 51 1/3 innings at home this season and the Marlins are 4-0 when he starts the second game of a series. Miami has won five Tuesday games in a row and San Diego has lost Stephen Kolek's past six starts overall and his past four road outings. The UNDER is 8-0-1 in Miami's past nine games after it scored two or fewer runs its previous game and Kolek's past five road starts have stayed UNDER. The Marlins have gone UNDER in Cabrera's past four home starts. Miami is on a 12-3 UNDER run at home. Take the Marlins to grab a win, and bet this game UNDER.