Tampa Bay is the AL East's best team at 40-25, and Shane McClanahan has been a centerpiece of that run. Coming off a rare rough start in Miami that snapped a six-game stretch of allowing one run or fewer, McClanahan brings a 2.85 ERA and 1.10 WHIP into tonight's road start against a Los Angeles club that has been one of the worst teams in baseball at 27-42. Filling the mound on the other side is Samuel Aldegheri, a spot starter recalled from Triple-A, where he's posted a 7.24 ERA across 46 innings this season, slotted in to fill the void left by injured Jack Kochanowicz. The market has Tampa Bay priced as a significant moneyline favorite, and getting near even money on the runline against this opponent with this starter opposite McClanahan is a price that won't hold. Tampa Bay wins on the runline tonight.
Upcoming Matchup & Picks
Lines & Odds
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game is that Tampa Bay will win by a score of 5.5 to 3.5 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who is the public on? 55% of the public money is on Tampa Bay Rays to win on the moneyline. And, 89% of the bets are on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game is that Los Angeles will win by a score of 5.0 to 4.0 with Los Angeles winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
MLB Premium Pick Results
Here’s how my premium picks are performing.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 79% of the public money was on Tampa Bay Rays to win on the moneyline. And, 94% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 5.2 to 4.3 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline, Los Angeles winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
MLB
Tampa Bay at Los Angeles
9:38 PM Eastern
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 72% of the public money was on Tampa Bay Rays to win on the moneyline. And, 68% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 4.1 to 3.9 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline, Los Angeles winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 74% of the public money was on Tampa Bay Rays to win on the moneyline. And, 68% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 4.6 to 4.5 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline, Los Angeles winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
MLB
Los Angeles at Tampa Bay
4:10 PM Eastern
Reid Detmers gets the ball for Los Angeles today against Drew Rasmussen in Game 3 of this series at Tropicana Field. The Angels just strung together back-to-back series wins for the first time all season, showing real signs of life heading into this one. Rasmussen has been quietly elite — a 2.78 ERA and 0.98 WHIP — and this Angels lineup batting .228/.312/.381 is a tough ask for run production. The problem is that the market is pricing this as a blowout spot and overreacting to Tampa’s home dominance. Detmers works a 94 mph four-seamer at heavy usage with a slider producing a 32.1% whiff rate and a curveball whiffing at 37.0% — the stuff is legitimate, and he’s capable of keeping the Rays contained long enough to steal a game. The Angels own a 22-35 ATS record this season, but underdog value at this price accounts for that. The market is overweighting Tampa’s home record and underweighting the Angels’ recent momentum and Detmers’ strikeout ability. The value is on the Angels at this number in a potential trap spot for a Rays club that could be looking ahead. Take the Angels.
Final Score
Get $50 of premium picks free.