Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins

Miami plays its third straight on the road with an offense that is 29th in runs scored, on-base percentage, and slugging. 24-year-old Valente Bellozo makes his MLB debut called up from Triple-A Jacksonville. At Triple-A, he had a 5.66 ERA and the Miami bullpen is 19th in ERA (4.10) and 21st in WHIP. The last place Marlins are 12-23 on the road and 24-12 UNDER the total as a road dog. Kansas City is on a 26-15 run at home with an offense that is 11th in runs scored. Starter Brady Singer (3.29 ERA) has a 3.04 ERA at home this season where he's holding batters to a .208 average. The Royals are 20-12 after two or more straight home games and 13-1 at home against losing teams. They're also 60-44 UNDER the total versus losing squads, plus 24-12 UNDER after a loss. Play Kansas City + bet this game to stay UNDER the total. 

Kansas City snapped a three-game skid and went UNDER for the third game in a row as the Royals defeated the Marlins 4-1 on Monday night. Salvador Perez hit a go-ahead homer in the fourth inning after Vinnie Pasquantino hit a game-tying solo home run. The Royals are 6-1-1 UNDER their past eight games and they are 8-0 in Seth Lugo's past eight starts against teams with losing records. Kansas City has won six straight as a home favorite of -151 to -200 and Lugo is 10-2 with a 2.42 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. Miami hitters are a combined 2-for-31 against Lugo. The UNDER is 7-1 in Miami's past eight road games against right-handed starters and the UNDER is 5-1-1 in Lugo's past seven starts pitching with four days rest. Kansas City is 26-14 at home and Miami is 16-27 at home and firmly in last place in the NL East. Two Max Plays on this game: Take the Royals (Max Play), and bet this game UNDER (Max Play). 

Last place Miami is 11-23 on the road. The offense is 29th in runs scored, on-base percentage, and slugging. Roddery Munoz (5.76 ERA) gets the start and the bullpen is 19th in ERA (4.10) and 21st in WHIP. The Marlins are 4-23 versus lefty starters. Kansas City is 25-14 at home with an offense that is 11th in runs scored. Southpaw Cole Ragans (3.13 ERA) has a 109-to-30 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 92 innings while holding batters to a .222 average. The Royals are 21-11 against righty starters and a perfect 12-0 at home versus losing teams. Play Kansas City. 

Miami has won five consecutive games while averaging 7.6 runs after defeating the Royals 6-1 on Tuesday as Luis Arraez had two hits to raise his batting average to .401. Now the Marlins get to face Jordan Lyles, who is experiencing a nightmare season with an 0-9 record and a 6.89 ERA overall and 0-4 and 9.89 on the road. Kansas City has lost all 12 of his starts this year and he has given up 51 earend runs in 66 2/3 innings. Meanwhile, Edward Cabrera comes off six shutout innings against Oakland and the Marlins have won six of his past nine starts and he is 4-0 at home. The Royals are deep in last place of the weak AL Central and 9-20 on the road. Miami is just three games behind Atlanta in the NL East and 20-13 at home and the Marlins are 11-1 their past 12 interleague games versus right-handed starters. Make it a Max Play on the Marlins.