Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers

The Texas offense is 23rd in runs scored, 25th in on-base percentage, and 26th in slugging. Starter Nathan Eovaldi (1.62 ERA) has an 86-to-13 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 83+ innings while holding batters to a .194 average. The bullpen is fourth in the majors in ERA (3.38). Houston's offense is 15th in runs scored and tied for 25th in steals. Starter Hunter Brown (2.21 ERA) has been great, with a 129-to-32 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 110 innings while holding batters to a .185 average. He has a 1.95 ERA at home, and the relief staff is third in ERA (3.31). The Astros are on a 31-22-1 run UNDER the total. Play Texas/Houston UNDER the total. 

The Texas offense is 23rd in runs scored, 24th in on-base percentage, and 24th in slugging. Jacob deGrom (2.29 ERA) has a 105-to-23 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 106+ innings while holding batters to a .195 average. The bullpen is fourth in the majors in ERA (3.37). Houston's offense is 15th in runs scored and tied for 24th in steals. Framber Valdez can bring the heat, as well, with 115 Ks in 115 innings while holding batters to a .217 average. He has a 1.83 ERA at home, and the relief staff is third in ERA (3.30). The Astros are on a 31-21-1 run UNDER the total. Play Texas/Houston UNDER the total.

The Texas offense is 23rd in runs scored, 25th in on-base percentage, and 26th in slugging. The Rangers are on a 49-29-1 run UNDER the total. Batters are hitting .232 off starter Jack Leiter, and the bullpen is fifth in the majors in ERA (3.41). The defense is No. 1 in fielding percentage. Houston's Lance McCullers Jr. allowed one run in six innings in his last start, an 18-1 win over the Dodgers, a team that is No. 1 in baseball in runs scored. The Astros are on a 31-21-1 run UNDER the total. Take Texas/Houston UNDER the total.

The Houston Astros have lost some of their potent offense in recent years, but the pitching remains great, so they stay in many games. The Astros staff has allowed just 154 total runs this season in 44 games, or about 2.7 runs per game. The Texas Rangers are built similarly. The Rangers staff has allowed just 158 runs in 46 games, or about 2.7 runs per contest. The problem is that both of these offenses are poor. The Astros have played seven of their last 11 games UNDER the total, while the Rangers have held opponents to three or fewer runs in their previous six games. Make the play UNDER the total.