Detroit Tigers vs Toronto Blue Jays

It's the third straight road game for Detroit. Keider Montero has thrown better on the road (2.84 ERA), though he still has a 5.47 ERA overall for the season. The Tigers' offense is 16th in runs scored, 27th in on-base percentage, 19th in slugging, and 27th in steals, while he bullpen is 18th in ERA (4.11). Toronto plays its third consecutive home game. Veteran Kevin Gausman has a 104-to-27 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 104 innings. He's allowed 2 runs in each of his last two starts, including a 5-3 win at San Francisco as an underdog. Play Toronto + UNDER the total. 

The Detroit Tigers took the series opener from Toronto 5-4. The Tigers have been playing their best baseball of the year, winning nine of their last 11 games. Most of the success has come from the pitching staff. The Tigers staff has allowed just 2 of their last 11 opponents to score more than 4 runs. Toronto is just 44-53 on the season. I don't see many runs in this game, as neither team seems to have any offensive continuity, with recent numbers quoted regarding Detroit's pitching success. I like the UNDER.

The schedule has the Detroit Tigers heading to Toronto to take on the Blue Jays. The Tigers have gotten better and are just three games under .500 heading into the second half. The Tigers open the second half after finishing strong in the first half winning winning eight of their last 10. Toronto is currently in the basement of the AL East at 44-52. Toronto has had little or no home field advantage this year as they are three games under .500 in their 45 home games so far on the season. Tigers are playing with confidence. Make the play on Detroit.

Toronto plays its fourth straight road game on a 4-6 slide. The offense is 28th in runs scored and 20th in slugging, while the pitching is 20th in ERA (4.19) and 27th in the bullpen (4.70 ERA). The Blue Jays are 6-15 after playing two or more straight road contests. Detroit is 2-1 on this six-game homestand, topping Toronto in the last two games, 6-2 and 2-1. The pitching staff is ninth in the majors in ERA (3.63) and starter Casey Mize has a 2.74 ERA at home. The Tigers are 92-82 versus losing teams, 11-4 against an AL starting pitcher with a 2.90 ERA or better, plus 39-26 against an AL starter with a WHIP of 1.300 or better. Play Detroit.