I had Cleveland on Thursday in Boston, and a 1-0 win cashed it with Joey Cantillo throwing five scoreless innings. That's the Guardians team I expect to see in this finale, not the one that has combined with Kansas City for 37 runs over the last two nights. Cleveland wrapped up the AL Central with Saturday's 11-5 win. Parker Messick starts with a 2.55 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP, and he's expected to throw only a few innings to stay fresh for the Division Series. The rest of the game goes to a Cleveland bullpen with a 3.54 ERA, against a Royals club that has lost three straight and eight of its last ten. The White Sox hit Daniel Lynch IV hard his last time out. The start before that, he held Houston scoreless over five innings, and his 1.14 WHIP says he usually keeps runners off base. The Guardians rank 26th in OPS, and this is the day after a clinch with nothing left to win. The UNDER is where I want to be this afternoon.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Guardians vs. Royals Betting Picks
Get Guardians vs. Royals betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Guardians vs. Royals game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 79% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 89% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Kansas City would win by a score of 7.3 to 5.7 with Kansas City winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
Cleveland at Kansas City
Final Score
MLB Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 68% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 90% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Kansas City would win by a score of 6.1 to 4.9 with Kansas City winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 71% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 89% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Kansas City would win by a score of 5.2 to 3.8 with Kansas City winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 75% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 70% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cleveland would win by a score of 3.4 to 2.9 with Cleveland winning on the moneyline, Kansas City winning on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 68% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 71% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cleveland would win by a score of 3.7 to 2.5 with Cleveland winning on the moneyline, Kansas City winning on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
Kansas City at Cleveland
I was on Cleveland's moneyline last week against the Angels, and the Guardians delivered as they have for most of this month. Cleveland has now won seven straight, and Foster Griffin has been a big part of it, riding a 3.19 ERA into this one after winning each of his last three starts. Kansas City counters with Daniel Lynch IV, who has been sharp in a limited role: a 2.93 ERA, though he has yet to complete five innings in any of his four starts this year, which puts extra weight on both bullpens today. Neither offense has done much scoring the past week, and a red-hot Cleveland team getting a look at a Kansas City lineup that isn't scoring much itself is a spot where the total tends to play under. I like the pitching on both sides more than either lineup right now. Back the UNDER this afternoon.
Final Score
Get free MLB Picks
I pour over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning. You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.
Get a top-rated pick every day.