Gerrit Cole's return from Tommy John surgery has gone exactly as well as a comeback could go. He made his 2026 debut against Tampa Bay last week, then went six and two-thirds scoreless innings against Kansas City — ten strikeouts, zero walks, 79 pitches — and the Yankees rolled 7-0. He has not allowed a run in the big leagues since coming back. New York heads to Cleveland at 34-22, riding a four-game win streak after a road sweep of the Royals. Gavin Williams is a legitimate arm for the Guardians — solid ERA, fourth in the majors in strikeouts, and pitching the best baseball of his career this season — but his walk rate continues to be the variable that costs Cleveland in tight games. A Cole operating at this level, facing a lineup that struggles to sustain damage in bunches, is the setup the runline asks for. The Yankees win on the runline tonight.
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Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game is that New York will win by a score of 0.0 to 0.0.
Lines & Odds
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game is that New York will win by a score of 0.0 to 0.0.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who is the public on? 51% of the public money is on New York Yankees to win on the moneyline. And, 92% of the bets are on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game is that Cleveland will win by a score of 4.2 to 3.1 with Cleveland winning on the moneyline, New York winning on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 80% of the public money was on New York Yankees to win on the moneyline. And, 92% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cleveland would win by a score of 4.3 to 3.9 with Cleveland winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 79% of the public money was on New York Yankees to win on the moneyline. And, 95% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cleveland would win by a score of 4.6 to 4.3 with Cleveland winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
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Cleveland at New York
7:05 PM Eastern
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