Gerrit Cole missed all of 2025 recovering from Tommy John surgery, and his return has answered every question about what he had left to offer. The fastball is back at 99 mph, the command is sharp, and through his early starts, he's carrying a 0.71 WHIP — the kind of number that says the surgery interrupted the calendar, not the ability. Tonight he faces Slade Cecconi, who owns a 4.92 ERA and 1.43 WHIP through 13 starts this season and whose command can unravel quickly — five walks in four innings against St. Louis a recent reminder of the risk he carries into every outing. New York is 39-26 and took Game 1 of this series 7-5 last night. Cleveland is 37-31 and a respectable club, but the arms don't match up. Side with New York tonight.
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Yankees vs. Guardians Betting Picks
Get Yankees vs. Guardians betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Yankees vs. Guardians game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 57% of the public money was on New York Yankees to win on the moneyline. And, 87% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 3.8 to 3.6 with New York winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 79% of the public money was on New York Yankees to win on the moneyline. And, 93% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 4.6 to 3.5 with New York winning on the moneyline, Cleveland winning on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
New York at Cleveland
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 54% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 89% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 4.0 to 3.4 with New York winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 80% of the public money was on New York Yankees to win on the moneyline. And, 92% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cleveland would win by a score of 4.3 to 3.9 with Cleveland winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 79% of the public money was on New York Yankees to win on the moneyline. And, 95% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cleveland would win by a score of 4.6 to 4.3 with Cleveland winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
Cleveland at New York
Gerrit Cole's return from Tommy John surgery has gone exactly as well as a comeback could go. He made his 2026 debut against Tampa Bay last week, then went six and two-thirds scoreless innings against Kansas City — ten strikeouts, zero walks, 79 pitches — and the Yankees rolled 7-0. He has not allowed a run in the big leagues since coming back. New York heads to Cleveland at 34-22, riding a four-game win streak after a road sweep of the Royals. Gavin Williams is a legitimate arm for the Guardians — solid ERA, fourth in the majors in strikeouts, and pitching the best baseball of his career this season — but his walk rate continues to be the variable that costs Cleveland in tight games. A Cole operating at this level, facing a lineup that struggles to sustain damage in bunches, is the setup the runline asks for. The Yankees win on the runline tonight.
Final Score
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