Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins

Minnesota's offense is 21st in runs scored, 21st in on-base percentage, 24th in slugging, and 22nd in steals. They're on a 14-6-1 run UNDER the total. The batters are hitting .287 off Bailey Ober (5.04 ERA), and the Twins are losing both of his road starts. The Twins are 3-10 on the road, part of a 6-20 run away from home. Cleveland's offense is 20th in runs scored, 20th in on-base percentage, and 17th in slugging. Starter Gavin Williams has a 2.38 ERA at home, and the bullpen is ninth in ERA (3.42). With Cleveland 8-4 at home, back in the home field in a defensive duel. Play Cleveland + UNDER the total. 

Minnesota is in danger of missing the playoffs and the Twins are in desperate need of a win to stave off the surging Detroit Tigers. They'll look to Simeon Woods Richardson to go at least five innings and he has pitched well against Cleveland this year allowing only three runs on eight hits in 12 1/3 innings. Minnesota is 4-0 his past four starts with four days rest and the Twins are 3-0-2 UNDER their past five against left-handed starters. Joey Cantillo faced Minnesota once this season and gave up three runs on five hits in 5 2/3 innings. Cleveland is 7-2-1 UNDER its past 10 games and the Guardians are 7-0 UNDER their past seven home games against teams with losing road records. Cleveland's magic number for cliching a playoff berth is one, but Minnesota will be equally motivated to solidify its postseason hopes. Take the Twins and the UNDER.