Brandon Sproat has been one of the worst starters in the National League in 2026, with a 1-6 record and nearly a six ERA that undersells just how hard he's been hit. The underlying contact numbers are ugly — hard hit rate, exit velocity, opponents' on-base percentage — none of it is fluky. Hitters are genuinely teeing off on him, and Sproat has yet to demonstrate he can get through a lineup a second or third time without damage. Into that comes Gavin Williams, one of the quietly elite starters in the AL, 9-3 with a 3.20 ERA and a strikeout-to-walk ratio that is among the best in baseball — just 25 walks against 94 punchouts in 81.2 innings. He pitched at least five innings in every start this season and has fanned six or more in ten of thirteen outings. Cleveland gets plus money here because they're on the road, and the market respects Milwaukee's home field. None of that changes what this matchup actually is: one of the better starters in the game against one of the league's most hittable. Side with Cleveland tonight.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Guardians vs. Brewers Betting Picks
Get Guardians vs. Brewers betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Guardians vs. Brewers game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 77% of the public money was on Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline. And, 83% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Milwaukee would win by a score of 4.5 to 4.0 with Milwaukee winning on the moneyline, Cleveland winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
MLB Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 65% of the public money was on Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline. And, 82% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Milwaukee would win by a score of 4.5 to 4.3 with Milwaukee winning on the moneyline, Cleveland winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
Cleveland at Milwaukee
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 73% of the public money was on Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline. And, 93% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cleveland would win by a score of 4.9 to 4.6 with Cleveland winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 66% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 60% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cleveland would win by a score of 4.4 to 4.3 with Cleveland winning on the moneyline, Milwaukee winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
Milwaukee at Cleveland
Milwaukee is 26-15 UNDER this season and the past four meetings have gone UNDER following Tuesday's 2-0 win by the Guardians. The Brewers were held to three hits as they were shut out for the second time in a row. Milwaukee has averaged just 1.67 runs its past six games and it is on a 9-1 UNDER run. Cleveland has gone UNDER four of five and has thrown three shutouts in five games. The Guardians have stayed UNDER seven of eight home games and will have Gavin Williams on the mound. He has allowed eight runs his past 17 1/3 innings and comes off five shutout innings on four hits against Philadelphia on Thursday. Take the UNDER.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 73% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 61% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Milwaukee would win by a score of 4.7 to 4.0 with Milwaukee winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Get free MLB Picks
I pour over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning. You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.
Get a top-rated pick every day.