Previous Matchups & Picks

September 27, 2026 3:10pm ET
@
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians
#963
Messick
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
#964
Lynch iv

Lines & Odds

-1.5 (+148)
Runline
+1.5 (-171)
-107
Moneyline
-107
OVER 8.5 (+103)
Total
UNDER 8.5 (-123)

Guardians vs. Royals Betting Picks

Get Guardians vs. Royals betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Guardians vs. Royals game.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 79% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 89% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Kansas City would win by a score of 7.3 to 5.7 with Kansas City winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on September 27, 2026 at 9:39AM ET.
img MLB

Cleveland at Kansas City

September 27, 2026
img3:10 PM Eastern

I had Cleveland on Thursday in Boston, and a 1-0 win cashed it with Joey Cantillo throwing five scoreless innings. That's the Guardians team I expect to see in this finale, not the one that has combined with Kansas City for 37 runs over the last two nights. Cleveland wrapped up the AL Central with Saturday's 11-5 win. Parker Messick starts with a 2.55 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP, and he's expected to throw only a few innings to stay fresh for the Division Series. The rest of the game goes to a Cleveland bullpen with a 3.54 ERA, against a Royals club that has lost three straight and eight of its last ten. The White Sox hit Daniel Lynch IV hard his last time out. The start before that, he held Houston scoreless over five innings, and his 1.14 WHIP says he usually keeps runners off base. The Guardians rank 26th in OPS, and this is the day after a clinch with nothing left to win. The UNDER is where I want to be this afternoon.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Cleveland Guardians
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
Kansas City Royals img
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
3

MLB Pro Pick Results

Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.

MLBMLB Max Plays this season last 4.9 months
Wins
Losses
Units
43
22
+30.69
MLBMLB All Picks last 3.3 months
Wins
Losses
Units
149
121
+20.57
MLBMLB All Picks this season last 5.2 months
Wins
Losses
Units
10
3
+15.31
MLBMLB All Playoff Picks last 14.0 years
Wins
Losses
Units
231
212
+8.74
MLBMLB Free Picks this season last 28 days
Wins
Losses
Units
5
1
+4.05
MLBMLB Between teams last 1 day
Wins
Losses
Units
1
0
+0.95
September 26, 2026 7:10pm ET
@
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians
#913
Bibee
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
#914
Wacha

Lines & Odds

-1.5 (+148)
Runline
+1.5 (-172)
-110
Moneyline
-104
OVER 8.5 (+100)
Total
UNDER 8.5 (-120)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 68% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 90% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Kansas City would win by a score of 6.1 to 4.9 with Kansas City winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Cleveland Guardians img
0
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
11
Kansas City Royals
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
5
September 25, 2026 7:40pm ET
@
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians
#963
Williams
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
#964
Cameron

Lines & Odds

-1.5 (+125)
Runline
+1.5 (-146)
-138
Moneyline
+121
OVER 7 (-115)
Total
UNDER 7 (-105)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 71% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 89% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Kansas City would win by a score of 5.2 to 3.8 with Kansas City winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Cleveland Guardians img
2
1
0
1
3
0
0
0
5
12
Kansas City Royals
1
2
0
2
0
0
0
2
2
9
August 30, 2026 1:40pm ET
@
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
#963
Lugo
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians
#964
Messick

Lines & Odds

+1.5 (-134)
Runline
-1.5 (+114)
+166
Moneyline
-188
OVER 7.5 (+100)
Total
UNDER 7.5 (-120)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 75% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 70% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Cleveland would win by a score of 3.4 to 2.9 with Cleveland winning on the moneyline, Kansas City winning on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Kansas City Royals
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Cleveland Guardians img
3
0
3
3
0
2
0
0
11
August 29, 2026 4:10pm ET
@
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
#919
Lynch iv
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians
#920
Griffin

Lines & Odds

+1.5 (-153)
Runline
-1.5 (+132)
+145
Moneyline
-162
OVER 8 (-105)
Total
UNDER 8 (-115)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 68% of the public money was on Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline. And, 71% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Cleveland would win by a score of 3.7 to 2.5 with Cleveland winning on the moneyline, Kansas City winning on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on August 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
img MLB

Kansas City at Cleveland

August 29, 2026
img4:10 PM Eastern

I was on Cleveland's moneyline last week against the Angels, and the Guardians delivered as they have for most of this month. Cleveland has now won seven straight, and Foster Griffin has been a big part of it, riding a 3.19 ERA into this one after winning each of his last three starts. Kansas City counters with Daniel Lynch IV, who has been sharp in a limited role: a 2.93 ERA, though he has yet to complete five innings in any of his four starts this year, which puts extra weight on both bullpens today. Neither offense has done much scoring the past week, and a red-hot Cleveland team getting a look at a Kansas City lineup that isn't scoring much itself is a spot where the total tends to play under. I like the pitching on both sides more than either lineup right now. Back the UNDER this afternoon.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Kansas City Royals img
0
0
0
0
2
4
0
2
0
8
Cleveland Guardians
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3

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