Paul Skenes' 2026 season looks completely different depending on where you look. The stat line reads 2.86 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, and 107 strikeouts — elite numbers that put him among the best starting pitchers in the National League. The win column reads 6-7, which is a product of Pittsburgh's lineup not showing up when he's on the mound, not anything Skenes has done wrong. Andrew Abbott gets the ball for Cincinnati with a 4.06 ERA and 1.44 WHIP, and that gap between these two starters is the foundation of the play tonight. Abbott allows baserunners at a rate that gives the Pittsburgh offense real opportunity to build multi-run leads, and this lineup has the firepower to take advantage. Ryan O'Hearn is hitting .290 with 11 home runs and 41 RBI. Oneil Cruz is a legitimate home run threat at the heart of this order. Against Skenes, Cincinnati faces a pitcher whose sweeper alone has generated just three hits across 214 pitches this season — opponents are batting .107 against it, and he is not giving the Reds the kind of traffic necessary to stay in games. Pittsburgh wins on the runline tonight.
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Reds vs. Pirates Betting Picks
Get Reds vs. Pirates betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Reds vs. Pirates game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 60% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline. And, 90% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 4.8 to 3.8 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline, Cincinnati winning on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 61% of the public money was on Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline. And, 83% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cincinnati would win by a score of 4.5 to 4.4 with Cincinnati winning on the moneyline, Pittsburgh winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 61% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 5.0 to 3.6 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline, Cincinnati winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
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MLB
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
6:40 PM Eastern
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 53% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline. And, 86% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 4.6 to 2.4 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 57% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline. And, 89% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cincinnati would win by a score of 4.2 to 3.8 with Cincinnati winning on the moneyline and on the runline.
Final Score
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