The Kansas City Royals were a playoff team last year, and the Royals are all about pitching. The Kansas City staff has allowed just 177 runs on the season, one run behind the Minnesota Twins for the fewest runs allowed in the AL. The Royals have held four opponents to one run or fewer over their last eight games. The problem is that they have lost many low-scoring games because the offense has been subpar. The Royals are 35-18 on the season UNDER. Cincinnati is 30-21 to the under on the season, including 0-5 against teams in the AL Central. The pitching matchup is between two pitchers with ERA's at 3.77 (Lorenzen), and 3.43 (Martinez). I like the UNDER in this one, as these teams combine for a 65-39 record to the UNDER on the season.
Previous Matchups & Picks


Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 52% of the public money was on Kansas City Royals to win on the moneyline. And, 62% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cincinnati would win by a score of 4.8 to 4.2 with Cincinnati winning on the moneyline, Kansas City winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 61% of the public money was on Kansas City Royals to win on the moneyline. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cincinnati would win by a score of 4.9 to 4.1 with Cincinnati winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score


Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 63% of the public money was on Kansas City Royals to win on the moneyline. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Kansas City would win by a score of 4.7 to 4.3 with Kansas City winning on the moneyline, Cincinnati winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
Cincinnati at Kansas City
Final Score


Lines & Odds
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Kansas City would win by a score of 0.0 to 0.0, Kansas City winning on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score


Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 54% of the public money was on Kansas City Royals to win on the moneyline. And, 56% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Kansas City would win by a score of 5.1 to 4.3 with Kansas City winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
Kansas City at Cincinnati
It's a high total after yesterday's 13-1 Kansas City rout, but this looks far more like a pitcher's duel. Kansas City starter Brady Singer (3.32 ERA) has 130 Ks in 135+ innings. He faces a Cincinnati offense that is 14th in runs scored, 25th in on-base percentage, and 15th in slugging. Andrew Abbott (3.59 ERA) has a 3.34 ERA at home and the bullpen is sixth in ERA (3.60) and 10th in WHIP. The UNDER is 7-0-1 when Abbott starts at home against winning teams, plus 6-0 UNDER when he starts in interleague action. Take Kansas City/Cincinnati UNDER the total.