Previous Matchups & Picks

August 30, 2026 7:20pm ET
@
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
#957
Burns
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs
#958
Imanaga

Lines & Odds

+1.5 (-154)
Runline
-1.5 (+133)
+137
Moneyline
-153
OVER 9 (-120)
Total
UNDER 9 (+100)

Reds vs. Cubs Betting Picks

Get Reds vs. Cubs betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Reds vs. Cubs game.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 75% of the public money was on Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline. And, 65% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Chicago would win by a score of 5.9 to 5.9 with Chicago winning on the moneyline, Cincinnati winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on August 30, 2026 at 10:48AM ET.
img MLB

Cincinnati at Chicago

August 30, 2026
img7:20 PM Eastern

I had Cincinnati on the run line here last night and it turned into one of the uglier results of the week, a 17-5 laugher that made the extra run and a half irrelevant. I'm not hiding from that. But my model treats a favorite that just hung 17 runs on a division rival as a fade the next time out, not a team to keep chasing, and that's exactly the spot the Cubs are standing in tonight. Chase Burns takes the mound for the Reds off a rough final line his last time out, but zoom out and he's been one of the better arms in the National League all season, sitting near the top of the league in ERA with swing-and-miss stuff that travels. Shota Imanaga goes for Chicago and got pulled after just two innings his last time out, hardly the form of a pitcher who should be laying a heavy price behind an offense coming off a blowout that history says tends to cool the next night. I'm buying back in against the same number that beat me last night, and I like this letdown spot far more than I liked last night's. Cincinnati and the extra run and a half is the strongest number on my board tonight.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Cincinnati Reds img
0
0
0
3
3
0
1
0
0
7
Chicago Cubs
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
5

MLB Pro Pick Results

Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.

MLBMLB Max Plays this season last 3.3 months
Wins
Losses
Units
25
8
+28.78
MLBMLB All Picks last 1.7 months
Wins
Losses
Units
87
74
+13.25
MLBMLB All Picks this season last 3.6 months
Wins
Losses
Units
8
2
+12.93
MLBMLB Free Picks this season last 18 days
Wins
Losses
Units
5
2
+2.66
MLBMLB All Playoff Picks last 13.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
216
204
+1.73
MLBMLB Between teams last 1 day
Wins
Losses
Units
1
0
+1.33
August 29, 2026 2:20pm ET
@
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
#903
Abbott
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs
#904
Gausman

Lines & Odds

+1.5 (-111)
Runline
-1.5 (-107)
+189
Moneyline
-215
OVER 9.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 9.5 (-110)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 87% of the public money was on Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline. And, 88% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Chicago would win by a score of 4.7 to 2.8 with Chicago winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on August 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
img MLB

Cincinnati at Chicago

August 29, 2026
img2:20 PM Eastern

I had the Reds getting the extra run against the Giants earlier this week, and that ticket cashed without a scare. Cincinnati brings a similar shape into Wrigley this afternoon: a losing club by record, but one that plays a lot closer than 63-71 suggests once the run line is in play. Andrew Abbott takes the ball for the Reds carrying a 4.15 ERA. He's not dominant, but he's worked past the fifth inning in three of his last five starts, holding Cincinnati in the game each time. Kevin Gausman gets the ball for Chicago, and this has been a rough summer for him too: a 4.58 ERA and a 6-11 record, with two of his last three starts failing to make it through five innings. The Cubs have also dropped two straight and haven't looked like the offense that carried them through the first half of the year. Getting that extra cushion with a pitcher this shaky on the mound for the favorite is the kind of number I want on a two-unit play. Cincinnati is the right side on the runline this afternoon.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Cincinnati Reds
0
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
5
Chicago Cubs img
3
3
0
1
3
0
4
3
17
August 28, 2026 2:20pm ET
@
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
#951
Lowder
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs
#952
Peterson

Lines & Odds

+1.5 (-122)
Runline
-1.5 (+103)
+174
Moneyline
-198
OVER 9 (+100)
Total
UNDER 9 (-120)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 82% of the public money was on Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline. And, 76% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Chicago would win by a score of 5.1 to 4.9 with Chicago winning on the moneyline, Cincinnati winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Cincinnati Reds img
0
0
0
1
1
5
2
0
1
10
Chicago Cubs
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
4
0
8
July 12, 2026 1:40pm ET
@
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs
#903
Boyd
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
#904
Abbott

Lines & Odds

-1.5 (+125)
Runline
+1.5 (-145)
-128
Moneyline
+113
OVER 9 (-110)
Total
UNDER 9 (-110)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 67% of the public money was on Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline. And, 53% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Cincinnati would win by a score of 4.6 to 4.0 with Cincinnati winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Chicago Cubs img
2
0
0
2
0
0
4
0
0
8
Cincinnati Reds
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
July 11, 2026 7:10pm ET
@
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs
#955
Assad
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
#956
Lodolo

Lines & Odds

-1.5 (+151)
Runline
+1.5 (-177)
-100
Moneyline
-114
OVER 9.5 (-115)
Total
UNDER 9.5 (-105)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 58% of the public money was on Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Cincinnati would win by a score of 4.5 to 4.2 with Cincinnati winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Chicago Cubs img
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0
0
5
Cincinnati Reds
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
3

Get free MLB Picks

I pour over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning. You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.