Previous Matchups & Picks

April 21, 2024 1:35pm ET
@
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
#919
Winckowski
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
#920
Perez

Lines & Odds

+1.5 (-161)
Runline
-1.5 (+135)
+133
Moneyline
-153
OVER 8 (-105)
Total
UNDER 8 (-117)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 67% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline. And, 58% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 5.7 to 2.9 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.

Premium Picks

This pick was released to clients on April 21, 2024 at 12:09PM ET.
img MLB

Boston at Pittsburgh

April 21, 2024
img1:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Pittsburgh -135 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.48)
Result:
LOSS

Pittsburgh has its best pitcher starting today as it looks to salvage a game from this three-game series. Martin Perez has allowed only seven runs and one homer in 24 2/3 innings this season and he is 4-2 in career against Boston. Perez's teams are 18-9 when the total is 8.0-8.5 in his starts. Josh Winckowski has made one start against the Pirates and it didn't go well as he finished with a 10.80 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP. This likely will be a bullpen game for the Red Sox as Winckowski has pitched fewer than three innings in five appearances this season. Pittsburgh's bullpen has a six saves and a 1.27 WHIP, but the Pirates have been struggling to score runs their past five games. Pittsburgh still has won four of the past six meetings after sweeping a three-game set against Boston in 2023. Take the Pirates as a Max Play.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Boston Red Sox img
0
0
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
6
Pittsburgh Pirates
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1

MLB Premium Pick Results

Here’s how my premium picks are performing.

MLBMLB All Picks last 1.7 years
Wins
Losses
Units
1,130
847
+88.81
MLBMLB All Picks this season last 1.2 months
Wins
Losses
Units
153
122
+29.51
MLBMLB All Playoff Picks last 11.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
171
147
+29.26
MLBMLB Max Plays last 3.0 years
Wins
Losses
Units
360
263
+26.87
MLBMLB Free Picks last 12.0 months
Wins
Losses
Units
87
47
+15.15
MLBMLB Free Picks this season last 23 days
Wins
Losses
Units
7
2
+2.67
MLBMLB Max Plays this season last 4 days
Wins
Losses
Units
4
2
+1.85
April 20, 2024 4:05pm ET
@
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
#967
Crawford
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
#968
Keller

Lines & Odds

+1.5 (-208)
Runline
-1.5 (+170)
+102
Moneyline
-119
OVER 7.5 (-115)
Total
UNDER 7.5 (-105)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 51% of the public money was on Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 4.5 to 4.4 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline, Boston winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.

Premium Picks

This pick was released to clients on April 20, 2024 at 11:21AM ET.
img MLB

Boston at Pittsburgh

April 20, 2024
img4:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
1 unit on Pittsburgh -113 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.88)
Result:
LOSS

Pittsburgh started quickly, but things have turned sour for the Pirates as they are just 2-7 in their last nine games, and enter this game on a four game losing streak after losing the series opener to Boston 8-1. Despite that, the Pirates enter with a better record in this game and Boston has been up and down to start the season 11-10. Boston isn't playing well either as they are 4-7 in their last 11 games, despite 10 of those 11 being at Fenway. Pirates go with Mitch Keller, who is far under the radar. His first 92 big-leauge decisions saw him at 35-57, but over his last 12 he is 9-3. Opponents have totaled just 43 runs in the 12 games or 3.6 per contest. The Sox are just 2-9 in Kutter Crawford's last 11 decisions, and opponents have plated 59 runs in the 11 games, or 5.4 per contest. I loke Pittsburgh in this one.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Boston Red Sox img
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
April 19, 2024 6:40pm ET
@
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
#917
Bello
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
#918
Priester

Lines & Odds

+1.5 (-206)
Runline
-1.5 (+171)
-103
Moneyline
-114
OVER 8.5 (-105)
Total
UNDER 8.5 (-117)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 52% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Boston would win by a score of 5.6 to 4.5 with Boston winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Boston Red Sox img
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
0
0
8
Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
April 5, 2023 1:35pm ET
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
#973
Keller
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
#974
Kluber

Lines & Odds

-1.5 (+119)
Runline
+1.5 (-158)
-144
Moneyline
+110
OVER 5.5 (-175)
Total
UNDER 5.5 (-120)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 69% of the public money was on Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline. And, 73% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Boston would win by a score of 6.1 to 4.1 with Boston winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.

Premium Picks

This pick was released to clients on April 05, 2024 at 12:12PM ET.
img MLB

Pittsburgh at Boston

April 5, 2023
img1:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Pittsburgh +1.5 runs -155 (runline) (risk 2 to return 3.29)
Result:
WIN

Pittsburgh has won the first two games of the series and Bryan Reynolds hit his third homer in two games as the Pirates won 4-1 on Tuesday night. Boston has allowed 34 runs in five games and tonight's starter, Corey Kluber, gave up five runs on six hits in 3 1/3 innings against Baltimore on Thursday. The Pirates have hit five home runs the first two games of the series and the Red Sox have given up 12 round-trippers already in just five games this season. Boston has lost 12 of 15 interleague home games against teams with winning records and the Red Sox have lost 20 of 26 overall after scoring two or fewer runs their previous game. The Red Sox had been scroing enough runs to keep up with their lousy pitching, but they managed only four hits last night. Take the Pirates on the run line - Max Play 

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Pittsburgh Pirates img
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0
4
Boston Red Sox
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
April 4, 2023 7:10pm ET
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
#927
Contreras
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
#928
Pivetta

Lines & Odds

+1.5 (-157)
Runline
-1.5 (+133)
+130
Moneyline
-149
OVER 9 (-101)
Total
UNDER 9 (-120)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 72% of the public money was on Boston Red Sox to win on the moneyline. And, 74% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Boston would win by a score of 4.9 to 4.4 with Boston winning on the moneyline, Pittsburgh winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.

Premium Picks

This pick was released to clients on April 04, 2024 at 11:41AM ET.
img MLB

Pittsburgh at Boston

April 4, 2023
img7:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
1.5 units on Pittsburgh +1.5 runs -160 (runline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.44)
Result:
WIN

Pittsburgh got its second win of the season as it defeated the Red Sox 7-6 on Monday when Bryan Reynolds hit a pair of solo home runs and the Pirates survived a five-run first inning by Boston. Roansy Contreras will make his first start of 2022 after finishing 5-5 with a 3.79 ERA and 1.27 WHIP for Pittsburgh last season. Nick Pivetta had a terrible April in 2022 as he was 0-3 with a 8.27 ERA and .297 opponent batting average and he finished the season 10-12 with a 4.56 ERA. The Red Sox have allowed 30 runs their first four games and it will be difficult for the offense to keep up with it. Boston has lost five of its past six interleague home games. Take the Pirates on the run line.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Pittsburgh Pirates img
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
Boston Red Sox
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1

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