Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies

This is a matchup Ranger Suarez has been eagerly awaiting, pitching at Fenway Park against the Phillies. Suarez spent his first eight seasons with the Phillies, establishing himself as a quality pitcher over the past couple of years before signing with Boston this season. Suarez is off to a third straight strong season with a 2.77 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. Phillies starter Jesus Luzardo, on the other hand, is having a disappointing year with a 5.98 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. Luzardo was battered for five earned runs in only three innings against the Rockies at home during his past start. The Phillies have been a disappointment, too, being three games below .500 after a dreadful start. Suarez may get to avoid Trea Turner, who didn't start yesterday due to illness. The Red Sox got their leading home run hitter, Wilson Contreras, back in their lineup. He had been out with a bruised hand. Contreras has eight homers. Take the Red Sox. 

Philadelphia has a losing road mark. Boston struggles against good pitching, but they catch a break here. Batters are hitting .321 off starter Andrew Painter (6.89 ERA), who has a 7.36 ERA on the road. The Phillies' offense is 25th in runs scored, 18th in steals, and 26th in on-base percentage. Boston plays its fifth consecutive home contest. Sonny Gray has a 1.80 ERA at home, and the Red Sox have won four of his last five starts. Play Boston.  

Boston has lost four of five on this road trip with the offense scoring just 10 runs. Lucas Giolito (3.59 ERA) has been very good, especially on the road where he has a 2.55 ERA. The bullpen is fifth in the majors in ERA (3.38). The Red Sox are on a 7-1-1 run UNDER the total. Philadelphia has taken the first two in this series by 3-2 and 4-1 scores. The Phillies are on a 23-13-2 run UNDER the total. Play Boston/Philadelphia UNDER the total.

Boston went UNDER for the fifth time in six games losing 3-2 to the Phillies last night in 10 innings. The game ended with a bases-loaded catcher's interference call against the Red Sox that scored the winning run. The Red Sox have scored only 14 runs in six games as they have been relying on good pitching to move into a tie for a wild card spot. Philadelphia is 54-43 UNDER in 2025 and will start Christopher Sanchez, who has only allowed five runs his past five appearances in 35 1/3 innings. His last seven starts have stayed UNDER and Boston is 6-0-2 UNDER against teams with winning records. The Red Sox bullpen has a 3.43 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Take the UNDER.