Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies

Boston has lost four of five on this road trip with the offense scoring just 10 runs. Lucas Giolito (3.59 ERA) has been very good, especially on the road where he has a 2.55 ERA. The bullpen is fifth in the majors in ERA (3.38). The Red Sox are on a 7-1-1 run UNDER the total. Philadelphia has taken the first two in this series by 3-2 and 4-1 scores. The Phillies are on a 23-13-2 run UNDER the total. Play Boston/Philadelphia UNDER the total.

Boston went UNDER for the fifth time in six games losing 3-2 to the Phillies last night in 10 innings. The game ended with a bases-loaded catcher's interference call against the Red Sox that scored the winning run. The Red Sox have scored only 14 runs in six games as they have been relying on good pitching to move into a tie for a wild card spot. Philadelphia is 54-43 UNDER in 2025 and will start Christopher Sanchez, who has only allowed five runs his past five appearances in 35 1/3 innings. His last seven starts have stayed UNDER and Boston is 6-0-2 UNDER against teams with winning records. The Red Sox bullpen has a 3.43 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Take the UNDER.

Boston plays its fourth straight on the road. They're on a 5-1-1 run UNDER the total after scoring seven runs in three games at Wrigley Field. Walker Buehler has turned a corner in July, allowing five earned runs in two starts (11 innings), wins over Tampa Bay (4-3) and Washington (10-3). The bullpen is fifth in the majors in ERA (3.45). Philadelphia starter Zack Wheeler (2.36 ERA) has been sensational with 154 Ks in 122 innings while holding batters to a .181 average. He has a 1.91 ERA at home, where visitors are hitting just .164. The Phillies are on a 21-13-2 run UNDER the total. Take Boston/Philadelphia UNDER the total.

It's the third straight road game for Philadelphia after losing at Fenway yesterday, 8-6, as a favorite. The bullpen is 17th in WHIP and the defense is 18th in fielding percentage. Boston is in the role of home underdog again despite an offense that is very good, ranked 12th in runs scored, ninth in on-base percentage, and seventh in slugging. Tanner Houck (1.91 ERA) has been outstanding with an 84-to-15 strikeout-to-walk ratio holding batters to a .200 average. The Red Sox have won his last four starts with him allowing just four runs in 27 innings. Play Boston.