Connelly Early's last start told you exactly where he is: after getting tagged for 22 hits and five home runs across his three previous outings, the 24-year-old left-hander went on the road and shut the Mariners down for six innings, one run, two hits. The 2.95 ERA through 11 starts this year has been real, and tonight he gets the ball at home against a Yankees lineup that has been one of the better offensive clubs in the AL but hasn't yet seen the version of Early who just went to Seattle and found his mechanics. Cameron Schlittler is one of the better pitching stories in the American League this season, and the market has priced him accordingly. But the posted total frames this as a tight game, and Early is capable of delivering one. At the price Boston is offering tonight, the Red Sox don't need to outpitch New York. They need Early to hold the Yankees to two or three runs for six innings and hand it to the bullpen with a lead. Boston is live tonight in a spot that has historically favored home clubs coming off a difficult series loss. Play the Red Sox.
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Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Picks
Get Yankees vs. Red Sox betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Yankees vs. Red Sox game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 52% of the public money was on New York Yankees to win on the moneyline. And, 60% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Boston would win by a score of 4.7 to 3.1 with Boston winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 71% of the public money was on New York Yankees to win on the moneyline. And, 74% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 4.5 to 3.7 with New York winning on the moneyline, Boston winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 64% of the public money was on New York Yankees to win on the moneyline. And, 64% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Boston would win by a score of 4.5 to 3.7 with Boston winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 85% of the public money was on New York Yankees to win on the moneyline. And, 85% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Boston would win by a score of 4.1 to 3.7 with Boston winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
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New York at Boston
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 84% of the public money was on New York Yankees to win on the moneyline. And, 76% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 4.2 to 4.2 with New York winning on the moneyline, Boston winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
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Boston at New York
Boston stole Game 1 of this series on Friday night, 5-3, and now sends Ranger Suarez to the mound in the afternoon finale. Suarez has been serviceable this season with a 3.38 ERA, but he's backing a lineup that's done little to support him — the Red Sox sit 27-35 and last in the AL East, a team that's been built better than it's played. New York answers with Cam Schlittler, who has spent the first two months of 2026 turning himself into one of the better starters in the American League. His 1.89 ERA is second in the AL, and his WHIP leads all qualified starters in the league. One short outing last time out is the only blemish on a dominant stretch. Play the Yankees this afternoon.
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