Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins

Boston snapped a three-game losing streak with a 4-1 win over San Diego on Sunday, and the Red Sox travel to Miami to play the last-place Marlins, who are 16-27 at home and firmly in last place in the NL East. Kutter Crawford starts for the Red Sox and has a 1.14 WHIP, although his record is just 3-7. He has pitched much better on the road, with a 2.88 ERA and a .213 opponent batting average. Boston as a team has been better away from home with a 24-16 mark. Valente Ballozo will make his second start for Miami after throwing five shutout innings against Kansas City. The UNDER is 4-0 in Crawford's past four starts after the Red Sox allowed two or fewer runs in their previous game. The Marlins have gone UNDER five of their past seven games. Take the Red Sox to win, and bet the UNDER as a Max Play. 

Boston will look to Brayan Bello to snap its losing streak and he is 5-4 with a 3.27 ERA. The Red Sox have won his past three starts, including 3-1 over the White Sox on Friday when he allowed one run on six hits in 6 2/3 innings. Bello has given up only seven runs his past four starts in 26 2/3 innings pitched. Bello is 5-2 with a 2.27 ERA and .217 opponent batting average in night games compared to 5.89 and .320 during the day, which is quite a discrepancy. Jesus Luzardo also has a similar situation as he owns a 2.65 ERA and .198 opponent batting average at home and 5.45 on the road and .309 on the road. Boston has won 20 of 27 home games versus left-handed starters and 12 of 17 interleague games against southpaws. Take the Red Sox.

The Miami Marlins at 46-34 on the season have the third best record in the NL. Boston appeared to turn the corner after a strong run, but they have fallen back just as fast, owning a 1-5 record over their last six games. Boston has a long history of playing well at Fenway Park, and while they have struggled, the bad stretch all came on the road. Boston had won four-straight games at home where they had outscored their opponents by a combined score of 31-11. Miami won easily last night, but getting Boston at even or plus odds at home is typically a strong wager. Boston has a +14.1% ROI as a home dog this season. Make the play on Boston.