We were on Cincinnati as a live underdog two days ago against Milwaukee and it delivered, a 7-2 win that snapped a four-game skid, so I am not writing the Reds off entirely. But tonight skews hard toward Baltimore. Hunter Greene takes the mound for his season debut after offseason elbow surgery, a tough spot to find rhythm against a lineup that just took the series opener 3-0. Brandon Young goes for the Orioles instead, and this is the version of Baltimore that has actually worked all year: the Orioles are 10-3 against the run line in his starts. Cincinnati's offense has been miserable for two months, well below league average as a team, and sharp money is already lining up on Baltimore tonight. Take the Orioles on the run line.
Previous Matchups & Picks
July 5, 2026 1:05pm ET
@
Baltimore Orioles
#975
Bradish
Cincinnati Reds
#976
Lodolo
Lines & Odds
-1.5 (+138)
Runline
+1.5 (-160)
-112
Moneyline
-102
OVER 9.5 (-115)
Total
UNDER 9.5 (-105)
Orioles vs. Reds Betting Picks
Get Orioles vs. Reds betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Orioles vs. Reds game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 65% of the public money was on Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline. And, 69% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cincinnati would win by a score of 5.1 to 4.8 with Cincinnati winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Baltimore Orioles
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
Cincinnati Reds 
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
3
MLB Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
MLBMLB
Max Plays this season last 2.7 months
Wins
Losses
Units
16
4
+24.46
MLBMLB
All Picks this season last 3 months
Wins
Losses
Units
7
1
+13.48
MLBMLB
All Picks last 6.0 years
Wins
Losses
Units
10
2
+10.76
MLBMLB
All Playoff Picks last 13.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
216
204
+1.73
MLBMLB
Between teams last 1 day
Wins
Losses
Units
1
0
+1.11
July 4, 2026 7:10pm ET
@
Baltimore Orioles
#925
Young
Cincinnati Reds
#926
Greene
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-185)
Runline
-1.5 (+159)
+110
Moneyline
-125
OVER 9 (-125)
Total
UNDER 9 (+100)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 50% of the public money was on Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline. And, 72% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Baltimore would win by a score of 5.1 to 4.6 with Baltimore winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
This Pro Pick was released to clients on July 04, 2026 at 11:31AM ET.
MLB
Baltimore at Cincinnati
July 4, 2026
7:10 PM Eastern
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Baltimore Orioles
3
0
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
8
Cincinnati Reds
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
5
July 3, 2026 7:10pm ET
@
Baltimore Orioles
#973
Rogers
Cincinnati Reds
#974
Singer
Lines & Odds
-1.5 (+127)
Runline
+1.5 (-147)
-124
Moneyline
+109
OVER 10.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 10.5 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 62% of the public money was on Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline. And, 68% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Baltimore would win by a score of 4.7 to 4.1 with Baltimore winning on the moneyline, Cincinnati winning on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Baltimore Orioles
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
Cincinnati Reds
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
April 20, 2025 1:35pm ET
@
Cincinnati Reds
#917
TBD
Baltimore Orioles
#918
Morton
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-124)
Runline
-1.5 (+104)
+165
Moneyline
-195
OVER 9 (-106)
Total
UNDER 9 (-115)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 61% of the public money was on Baltimore Orioles to win on the moneyline. And, 69% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Baltimore would win by a score of 4.6 to 4.4 with Baltimore winning on the moneyline, Cincinnati winning on the runline.
Pro Picks
This Pro Pick was released to clients on April 20, 2025 at 11:33AM ET.
MLB
Cincinnati at Baltimore
April 20, 2025
1:35 PM Eastern
Cincinnati has lost three of four after getting beaten by the Orioles yesterday, 9-5. It will be a bullpen game for them after their best pitcher, Hunter Greene, lasted only three innings. The offense is 15th in runs scored and 16th in on-base percentage. Carson Spiers (6.08 ERA) will see some time, and the Reds are 0-3 in the three games he has thrown. He has a 9.82 ERA on the road after having a 7.34 ERA in 38 road innings last season. Baltimore's offense is 12th in runs scored and sixth in slugging. This is their eighth consecutive home game, so back home field. Play Baltimore.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Cincinnati Reds
0
1
7
2
2
0
3
5
4
24
Baltimore Orioles
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
April 19, 2025 4:05pm ET
@
Cincinnati Reds
#969
Greene
Baltimore Orioles
#970
Young
Lines & Odds
+1.5 (-191)
Runline
-1.5 (+160)
+112
Moneyline
-128
OVER 9 (-112)
Total
UNDER 9 (-110)
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 57% of the public money was on Cincinnati Reds to win on the moneyline. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Cincinnati would win by a score of 4.5 to 4.3 with Cincinnati winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
Cincinnati Reds
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
Baltimore Orioles
2
1
2
0
0
0
2
2
9
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