Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals

Atlanta will look to Hurston Waldrep to snap ita two-game losing streak and he will be making his major league debut after pitching well in the minors this year. He has a 3.09 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 59 strikeouts in 55 1/3 innings. Washington also will have a rookie starter in DJ Herz and he didn't fare too well his first outing on Tuesday when he allowed four runs on seven hits in four innings as the Nationals lost 6-3 to the New York Mets. The Nationals are only 12-17 at home this season and they have lost four straight against teams that allowed at least five runs their previous game. Atlanta's bullpen has 18 saves and a 1.25 WHIP and the Braves are 37-23 UNDER in 2024. The UNDER is 11-1 in the Braves' past 12 games after allowing five or more runs and they have stayed UNDER five straight in the fourth game of a series. Take the Braves and the UNDER.

Washington has won four of six meetings this season after defeating the Braves 2-1 behind Jake Irvin, who pitched six shutout innings and Atlanta was held to six hits. Mackenzie Gore will look to bounce back from a bad outing against the New York Mets on Monday after not allowing more than two earned runs in seven consecutive starts. Gore has one appearance against Atlanta this season and gave up one earned run on six hits in 5 1/3 innings. The Braves have lost five of nine games and have fallen eight games back of Philadelphia in the NL East. Charlie Morton comes off six shutout innings against Oakland, but his previous start was a disaster and it was versus the Nationals, who scored eight runs on 12 hits off Morton in 5 2/3 innings. The UNDER is 7-0-1 in Morton's past eight starts against a team that scored two or fewer runs its previous game. The Braves are 5-0 UNDER following a loss and 7-3 UNDER their past 10 games overall. Take the Nationals and the UNDER as a Max Play.

Atlanta topped Washington yesterday, 5-2. Chris Sale (3.06 ERA) has an 82-to-10 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 67+ innings. The Braves are 24-12 UNDER the total as chalk of -150 or less, plus 23-13 UNDER against a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.350 or better. Washington has lost four in a row with an offense that is 24th in runs scored. 22nd in on-base percentage, and 28th in slugging. They're 18-54 at home against divisional opponents. Jake Irvin (3.39 ERA) has excellent command (10 walks in 69 innings) while holding batters to a .227 average. Washington is 17-5 UNDER the total after scoring 2 runs or less. Play Atlanta + UNDER the total. 

Washington is on a 5-4 run winning as underdogs of +140, +115, +140, +182, and +135. Batters are hitting just .223 off Trevor Williams (2.29 ERA) with the team 8-2 in his 10 starts. Washington is 9-5 against NL squads with a team batting average of .255 or worse, as well as 50-59 as a road dog. Atlanta is on a 5-9 slide losing nine as a favorite. With the Braves 9-14 against starting pitchers who give up 5.5 or fewer hits per start, back the big dog with their ace. Play Washington.