Atlanta Braves vs Minnesota Twins

Minnesota is on a 4-8 run, averaging 3.1 runs. For the season, the offense is 25th in runs scored, 27th in on-base percentage, and 26th in slugging. The Twins are on a 10-4 run UNDER the total. Starter Joe Ryan (2.45 ERA) has a 23-to-2 strikeout-to-walk ratio and sports a 0.75 ERA on the road. He faces an Atlanta offense with 26th in runs scored, 18th in on-base percentage, and 20th in slugging. Grant Holmes has allowed three earned runs in his last two starts (11+ innings) and has yet to allow a run at home. Last year, he had a 3.06 ERA at home, and the Braves are on a 9-4 run UNDER the total at home. Take Minnesota/Atlanta UNDER the total. 

Atlanta has won the past nine meetings dating to 2019, and Minnesota has lost 13 of 17 against National League opponents. The Twins have picked up where they left off with a 7-13 record following their September collapse last season. They face Chris Sale tonight, and he allowed one run on six hits in six innings in his one appearance against them in 2024. Minnesota hitters are 17-for-71 with two homers against Sale, who has 24 strikeouts in 19 innings this season, although he hasn't pitched more than five innings in any game. Atlanta is 5-0 in Sale's past five home starts against teams with losing records, and the Braves are 9-1 in Sale's past 10 starts after scoring at least five runs in their previous game. Atlanta scored five times in the eighth and won 6-4 on Friday night, and the bullpen allowed no hits and runs in four innings. Minnesota's relievers have only one save this season, and the Twins are 3-8 on the road. Take the Braves.

Atlanta is on an 11-4 run with an offense that is 12th in slugging. The defense is third in fielding percentage and the pitching is second in ERA (3.65), including third in the pen (3.36 ERA). Chris Sale (2.62 ERA) has been healthy all season with 191 strikeouts in 147+ innings while holding batters to a .216 average. The Braves are 17-6 in his last 23 starts. The Braves have won six in a row on the road against winning teams and have taken the first two of this series scoring 18 runs. Minnesota has dropped six of eight. David Festa (5.20 ERA) makes his seventh start of the season and has a 6.61 ERA at home. The Twins have lost five of their last six interleague games as an underdog. Make it a Max Play on Atlanta.