Arizona and Pittsburgh needed extra innings to settle it last night, a 3-2 Pirates win that summed up how tight this series has been so far. Both bullpens took real work getting there, Arizona leaning on Morillo, Loaisiga, and Clarke, Pittsburgh matching with four relievers of its own, so neither pen enters tonight fully fresh. Brandon Pfaadt has quietly been outstanding across his last five starts, allowing two earned runs or fewer in each of them, and Bubba Chandler counters after the best start of his season last time out, six-plus innings without allowing a run against the Yankees. Pittsburgh's offense has scored more than Arizona's this year and owns the better run differential even with matching 55-52 records, and I won't paper over that gap. But this number only needs Arizona to avoid a two-run loss, and a series that just produced a one-run extra-innings game with two pitchers this locked in points toward another low-margin night rather than a laugher either way. Arizona covers the runline tonight.
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Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Betting Picks
Get Diamondbacks vs. Pirates betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Diamondbacks vs. Pirates game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 52% of the public money was on Arizona Diamondbacks to win on the moneyline. And, 58% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 5.3 to 4.4 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline, Arizona winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 54% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Arizona would win by a score of 4.4 to 4.2 with Arizona winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
MLB
Arizona at Pittsburgh
6:40 PM Eastern
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 62% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline. And, 67% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Pittsburgh would win by a score of 5.1 to 4.8 with Pittsburgh winning on the moneyline, Arizona winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 52% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline. And, 70% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Arizona would win by a score of 5.3 to 4.8 with Arizona winning on the moneyline, Pittsburgh winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
MLB
Pittsburgh at Arizona
3:40 PM Eastern
Arizona couldn't solve Paul Skenes on Wednesday, but the Pirates will have the same problem against Zac Gallen, who has been outstanding in three home starts this season. Gallen has a 1.23 ERA while allowing just two runs in 14 2/3 innings at Chase Field. Pittsburgh hitters have one homer in 101 at-bats against Gallen. Arizona has won 13 of its past 19 home games versus the Pirates, and the UNDER is 5-0-1 the past six meetings. Amazingly, each of those games resulted in a shutout win for one side or the other. Pittsburgh has stayed UNDER in four of its past six road games, and it has scored a total of 2 runs three times, though it won two of those by 1-0 scores. That good fortune will end today. Take the Diamondbacks as our big play, and bet this game to stay UNDER.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 67% of the public money was on Pittsburgh Pirates to win on the moneyline. And, 88% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Arizona would win by a score of 4.0 to 3.9 with Arizona winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
MLB
Pittsburgh at Arizona
9:40 PM Eastern
Last place Pittsburgh is on a 3-6 slide after getting shut out in the opener of this series, 9-0. Paul Skenes is off a 10-5 loss at home to the Cardinals and has a 4.26 road ERA. The bullpen ranks 14th in ERA (4.05). Meanwhile, Arizona is 10-6 at home, with an offense that is 14th in runs scored and sixth in slugging. The Diamondbacks are 4-2 when starting Michael Soroka, who has a 1.64 ERA at home. Play Arizona.
Final Score
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