Two nights ago I had Philadelphia in this series, and it cashed, and last night Jesus Luzardo made it look easy in a 7-1 rout that put Arizona in a 0-2 hole. That's a rare rough patch for a Diamondbacks club that still carries a winning record, and it sets up exactly the kind of get-right spot I like as they try to salvage the finale. Andrew Painter takes the mound for Philadelphia with a 5.95 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over just past 98 innings this season, and even with four wins in his last five turns, he's allowed multiple runs in three of those starts against a lineup that's produced all year. Arizona counters with a bullpen day, leaning on Taylor Clarke and his 2.60 ERA to open things against a Phillies offense that's been scorching but hasn't seen this look yet. The bigger bets have been stacking up on the Diamondbacks today, even as the ticket count runs close to even. Arizona is the right side on the moneyline this afternoon.
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Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Betting Picks
Get Phillies vs. Diamondbacks betting picks, expert betting analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Phillies vs. Diamondbacks game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 65% of the public money was on Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline. And, 67% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Arizona would win by a score of 4.3 to 3.8 with Arizona winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
MLB
Philadelphia at Arizona
3:40 PM Eastern
Final Score
MLB Pro Pick Results
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 68% of the public money was on Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline. And, 89% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Philadelphia would win by a score of 4.3 to 4.0 with Philadelphia winning on the moneyline, Arizona winning on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 62% of the public money was on Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline. And, 90% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Arizona would win by a score of 3.9 to 3.7 with Arizona winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
MLB
Philadelphia at Arizona
9:40 PM Eastern
Philadelphia arrives in the desert playing its best baseball of the year, having gone 16-5 since the calendar flipped to August, and the version of Nola on the mound tonight looks nothing like the pitcher who carried a bloated ERA into July. Over his last five starts, he's cut his season ERA down near 5.15 while his strikeout rate has jumped into the high-20s, missing more bats than he has all year. Arizona counters with a TBD starter, which hands the Phillies a real information edge in a game where both bullpens matter late. That's the bigger issue for the Diamondbacks: their relief corps has been running as a committee for weeks now, with no set closer and arms like Ginkel and Garcia both fighting their control, the exact kind of late-inning uncertainty that turns a tight game into a Philadelphia win. I like what Nola's stretch does to this number against a rotation the Diamondbacks haven't even named. The Phillies are a game back in the Wild Card race and playing with real urgency, and Nola gives them length that Arizona's pen simply doesn't have to counter, which is exactly the kind of edge we're banking on with this one. With the mystery starter working against a rested, surging lineup, this line is priced too close for what's actually a mismatch late. Take the Phillies on the moneyline tonight.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 55% of the public money was on Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline. And, 71% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Philadelphia would win by a score of 5.7 to 4.2 with Philadelphia winning on the moneyline and on the runline and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 60% of the public money was on Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline. And, 85% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Philadelphia would win by a score of 4.3 to 3.6 with Philadelphia winning on the moneyline, Arizona winning on the runline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
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